Liberty Energy, Inc. (LBRT)
NYSEEnergyOil & Gas Equipment & ServicesSnapshot 2026-09-04
$20.59+1.03%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NYSEEnergyOil & Gas Equipment & ServicesSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · LBRT
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 13.9% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 13.8% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The two one-year growth estimates are about the same.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 32 industry peers
LBRT — capital allocation — Creation of a Direct Financial Obligation or an Obligation under an Off-Balan…
Dated 2026-03-30
Creation of a Direct Financial Obligation or an Obligation under an Off-Balance Sheet Arrangement of a Registrant. The information set forth under the heading “0.00% Convertible Senior Notes Offering” in
Why it matters: Finishing this offering would give Liberty more financial options. It would help support growth.
Supportive ifThey said the $450 million convertible notes offering is now closed.
Worry ifFailure to close the offering or significant changes to its terms.
Why it matters: Successful deployment would prove Liberty's growth plan and tech work in new markets.
Supportive ifThere is news about successful work and happy customers from the first digiPrime fleet in Canada.
Worry ifDeployment has big problems or delays. This can lower customer satisfaction.
Why it matters: Stable or rising dividends show good use of money and strong finances. This shows management cares about shareholders.
Supportive ifDividend per share remains at $0.09 or increases in the next quarter.
Worry ifDividend per share decreases from $0.09.
Why it matters: An increase shows strong financial health. It also shows a commitment to shareholders.
Supportive ifAnnouncement of a cash dividend increase above $0.09 per share.
Worry ifDividends remain at $0.09 per share or decrease.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$209 on $10,000 · ±2.1% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $585 loss on $10,000 · 5.8% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $5,031 loss on $10,000 · 50.3% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: This JV could help Liberty in digital infrastructure and large power markets.
Supportive ifAn announcement will confirm the start of the PowerBridge JV with early deployments.
Worry ifNo updates on the JV or delays in deployment plans.
Why it matters: Revenue growth above 14% shows strong operations and high market demand.
Supportive ifQ3 revenue was over $1.37 billion, showing continued growth.
Worry ifQ3 revenue growth was below 14%, which may show operational or market issues.
Why it matters: Changes to dividends can show how confident management is in cash flow.
Watch forThere is news about a rise in the quarterly dividend payment.
Also watch forThere is news about a cut or suspension of the dividend.