Lifetime Brands Inc (LCUT)
NASDAQConsumer DiscretionaryFurnishings, Fixtures & AppliancesSnapshot 2026-11-04
$8.89+4.71%
Close 2026-11-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQConsumer DiscretionaryFurnishings, Fixtures & AppliancesSnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · LCUT
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -50.6% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 4.1% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
No outside relationship met the current evidence threshold.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 54.8 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 7 industry peers
LCUT — credit agreement
Dated 2026-08-20
Entry into a Material Definitive Agreement Amended ABL Credit Agreement On August 17, 2026 (the “Effective Date”), Lifetime Brands, Inc. (the “Company”) entered into Amendment No. 3 (the “Amendment”) to amend that certain Credit Agreement, dated as of March 2, 2018, among the Company, as borrower, the other borrowers and loan parties from time to time party thereto, the lenders from time to time party thereto, and JPMorgan Chase Bank, N.A., as Administrative Agent for the Non-EEA Agented Borr…
Why it matters: LCUT needs $650 million to $700 million in 2026 sales. Q3 results will show if growth can continue without tariff refunds.
Watch forOn November 5, Q3 sales growth keeps full-year sales guidance at $650 million to $700 million.
Also watch forLCUT cuts its $650 million to $700 million sales guidance, or Q3 sales fall year over year.
Why it matters: The new site has startup challenges. Full operation by year-end would meet management's stated target.
Supportive ifIn Q4, management says the Hagerstown site is fully up and running.
Worry ifManagement says the site is not fully up and running by year-end, or pushes the target past Q4.
Why it matters: Management has set December for its longer-term strategy update. Specific goals can show how it plans to grow and restore balance sheet strength.
Watch forAt the December Investor Day, LCUT gives measurable goals for sales growth and debt paydown.
Also watch forThe Investor Day is delayed, or the plan gives no measurable sales or debt goals.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$212 on $10,000 · ±2.1% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $636 loss on $10,000 · 6.4% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $3,375 loss on $10,000 · 33.8% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.