Lee Enterprises Inc (LEE)
NASDAQCommunication ServicesPublishingSnapshot 2026-09-04
$8.13+1.75%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQCommunication ServicesPublishingSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · LEE
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -69.6% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | -13.2% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
No outside relationship met the current evidence threshold.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 56.4 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 5 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
LEE — CEO transition
Dated 2026-08-11
CEO — Nathan E. Bekke: The filing primarily details the approval of transition equity awards for executives already appointed as CEO and CFO following a previously disclosed leadership change.
Why it matters: A successful deal could create growth and show Lee's strength.
Watch forManagement shares good news from the Hoffmann Media Group deal.
Also watch forManagement notes problems with the Hoffmann Media Group deal.
Why it matters: Positive revenue growth could mean the sector is starting to improve.
Supportive ifQ3 revenue growth reported as positive year over year.
Worry ifQ3 revenue growth remains negative year over year.
Why it matters: Cash tax payments affect cash flow. Monitoring this helps assess financial health.
Worry ifCash paid for income taxes reported below $2M.
Less concerning ifCash paid for income taxes exceeds $8M.
Why it matters: Better cash flow shows stronger finances and helps with future investments.
Supportive ifCash flow from operations is much higher than last year.
Worry ifCash flow from operations declines or remains flat compared to the previous year.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$192 on $10,000 · ±1.9% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $698 loss on $10,000 · 7.0% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $4,218 loss on $10,000 · 42.2% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: This growth range shows that Lee's digital-first strategy and operations are working.
Supportive ifQ4 Adjusted EBITDA growth reported within the range of 22% to 28% year over year.
Worry ifQ4 Adjusted EBITDA growth falls below 22% year over year.
Why it matters: Lower interest costs help Lee make more money and improve its financial health.
Supportive ifInterest costs keep going down from the current $5.6 million.
Worry ifInterest costs go up or stay the same in the next quarter.
Why it matters: Lower interest costs help profits. This shows good capital management.
Supportive ifInterest costs were under $5 million in Q4.
Worry ifInterest expense rises above $5 million in Q4.
Why it matters: This shows how well Lee is shifting to digital. It impacts future growth and profitability.
Supportive ifDigital revenue remains above 55% of total revenue in Q4.
Worry ifDigital revenue drops below 55% of total revenue in Q4.
Why it matters: Earnings results will show how well the company is doing.
Watch forEarnings report shows more profit or revenue growth.
Also watch forEarnings report shows ongoing losses or less revenue.