Leslie's Inc (LESL)
NASDAQConsumer DiscretionarySpecialty RetailSnapshot 2026-11-04
$0.06+22.22%
Close 2026-11-03 · 1-day change
NASDAQConsumer DiscretionarySpecialty RetailSnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · LESL
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits well below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -86.8% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 3.4% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
No outside relationship met the current evidence threshold.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 90.2 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Elevated risk of a next-quarter earnings miss: this name is on a run of consecutive earnings misses and is a smaller-cap name (higher miss base rate). A fundamental tilt, not a price call.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 11 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
LESL — legal / regulatory event
Dated 2026-10-05
by reference. Additional information about the Chapter 11 Cases is set forth in greater detail in the Declaration of Jeff White, Chief Financial Officer of Leslie’s, Inc. in Support of the Chapter 11 Petitions and the First Day Motions (the “First Day Declaration”). For copies of motions and orders filed with the Bankruptcy Court and other documents related to the Bankruptcy Court supervised process, please visit https://restructuring.ra.kroll.com/lesliespool/.
Why it matters: Nasdaq said it would delist the common stock because of the Chapter 11 cases. The final exchange action will show where shares can trade.
Worry ifNasdaq completes the delisting of LESL common stock after its Chapter 11 notice.
Less concerning ifNasdaq takes back its delisting decision or confirms the shares will stay listed.
Why it matters: The loan is meant to fund operations during Chapter 11. Court approval would confirm this source of cash is in place.
Supportive ifThe bankruptcy court approves the $90 million DIP loan, and the company can draw funds under it.
Worry ifThe court denies or delays approval, or the lender commitment is withdrawn.
Why it matters: The company says it aims to leave Chapter 11 in early 2027. A timely exit would show the court-backed plan is moving ahead.
Supportive ifCourt filings show the plan is approved. Leslie exits Chapter 11 in early 2027.
Worry ifCourt filings show the plan is rejected, key terms change, or the exit moves past early 2027.
Why it matters: Comparable sales fell 6.2% in the third quarter after rising 6.6% in the second. A return to growth would support the price and customer plan.
Supportive ifA later quarterly report shows same-store sales growth above 0% year over year.
Worry ifA later quarterly report shows comparable sales down 6.2% or more year over year.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$800 on $10,000 · ±8.0% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $2,147 loss on $10,000 · 21.5% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $9,980 loss on $10,000 · 99.8% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.