Levi Strauss & Co (LEVI)
NYSEConsumer DiscretionaryApparel - ManufacturersSnapshot 2026-09-04
$21.06+1.74%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NYSEConsumer DiscretionaryApparel - ManufacturersSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · LEVI
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -6.3% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 5.7% |
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 12.0 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 11 industry peers
LEVI — litigation filed
Dated 2026-08-07
Other Events. Levi Strauss & Co. (the “Company”) recently detected that the Company experienced a cybersecurity incident in which an unauthorized third party gained access to Company files through social engineering techniques that enabled unauthorized access to three employees’ Company-issued computers. Following such detection, the Company initiated response protocols, implemented containment measures, launched an investigation, which remains ongoing and engaged the services of third-party…
Why it matters: If guidance is higher, it shows Levi's growth is strong. It also shows good demand from consumers.
Supportive ifManagement raises full year 2026 net revenue growth guidance above 7.5%.
Worry ifGuidance remains at or below 7.5% for full year 2026.
Why it matters: The new CFO's plans may affect financial results and investor trust.
Watch forA new CFO is appointed who has a strong track record in retail.
Also watch forThe search for a new CFO takes longer than expected or results in a less experienced candidate.
Why it matters: Growth in revenue for the sector may help Levi's recovery and performance.
Supportive ifSector revenue growth turns positive after being negative.
Worry ifSector revenue growth is still negative. This shows ongoing contraction.
Why it matters: An EPS below this level would indicate weaker earnings growth than expected.
Worry ifDiluted EPS is below $1.46.
Less concerning ifDiluted EPS reported at or above $1.46.
Why it matters: A drop below this level means it will be hard to keep making money.
Worry ifAdjusted EBIT margin was below 12%.
Less concerning ifAdjusted EBIT margin was at or above 12%.
Why it matters: The EBIT margin is important for making money. A drop means higher costs or less efficiency.
Worry ifAdjusted EBIT margin was below 12% for Q3 2026.
Less concerning ifAdjusted EBIT margin reported at or above 12% for Q3 2026.
Why it matters: A revenue outlook increase would show strong growth momentum. This could boost investor confidence.
Supportive ifLevi raises its full year 2026 net revenue outlook above $6.5B.
Worry ifLevi maintains or lowers its full year 2026 net revenue outlook below $5.5B.
Why it matters: Falling short of this target would indicate weaker earnings growth.
Worry ifQ3 adjusted diluted EPS was below $1.46.
Less concerning ifQ3 adjusted diluted EPS reported at or above $1.46.
Why it matters: Higher EPS means better earnings. This can help build investor trust.
Supportive ifAdjusted diluted EPS reported in the range of $1.46 to $1.52.
Worry ifAdjusted diluted EPS falls below $1.42 in the next earnings report.
Why it matters: A cut in revenue guidance shows possible problems with sales and market conditions.
Worry ifManagement lowers 2026 net revenue growth guidance to below 7%.
Less concerning ifManagement maintains or raises full-year 2026 net revenue growth guidance at or above 7%.
Why it matters: This would show slower growth. It goes against management's positive view.
Worry ifQ3 organic net revenue growth reported below 5.5%.
Less concerning ifQ3 organic net revenue growth reported above 5.5%.
Why it matters: DTC sales growth is key for Levi's strategy. A drop signals weaker consumer demand.
Worry ifDTC comparable sales growth reported below 6% for Q3 2026.
Less concerning ifDTC comparable sales growth reported above 6% for Q3 2026.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$133 on $10,000 · ±1.3% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $337 loss on $10,000 · 3.4% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $2,641 loss on $10,000 · 26.4% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.