LGL Group Inc/The (LGL)
AMEXInformation TechnologyHardware, Equipment & PartsSnapshot 2026-11-04
$6.56-0.91%
Close 2026-11-04 · 1-day change
AMEXInformation TechnologyHardware, Equipment & PartsSnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · LGL
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits well below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 18.0% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 66.0% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
No outside relationship met the current evidence threshold.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 47.9 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Elevated risk of a next-quarter earnings miss: this name is on a run of consecutive earnings misses and is a smaller-cap name (higher miss base rate). A fundamental tilt, not a price call.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 24 industry peers
LGL — earnings miss
Dated 2026-08-14
Results of Operations and Financial Condition On August 14, 2026, The LGL Group, Inc. ("LGL Group" or the "Company") issued a press release announcing its financial results for the second quarter ended June 30, 2026. A copy of the press release is attached hereto as Exhibit 99.1 and is incorporated by reference herein. The information in this Current Report on Form 8-K, including the exhibits hereto, is being furnished and shall not be deemed "filed" for purposes of Section 18 of the Securiti…
Why it matters: LGL's losses grew as stock pay, professional fees, and other costs rose. Smaller losses would show better cost control.
Supportive ifThe next quarterly net loss is smaller than Q2's $353,000, with lower stock pay or professional fees.
Worry ifThe next quarterly net loss is at least $353,000, or stock pay and professional fees rise again.
Why it matters: Gross margin fell to 49.2% in Q2 from 57.0% a year earlier. LGL tied the drop to product mix and lower prices for one customer.
Worry ifGross margin stays below 50% in the next results, or falls further from Q2's 49.2%.
Less concerning ifGross margin rises above 50% in the next results and LGL reports less pressure from product mix or pricing.
Why it matters: The report can show whether backlog growth is lifting sales and whether margins and losses are improving.
Watch forQ3 revenue exceeds Q2's $1.153 million, gross margin is above 49.2%, and net loss is below $353,000.
Also watch forQ3 revenue is below $1.153 million, gross margin falls below 49.2%, or net loss exceeds $353,000.
Why it matters: The rights offering raised $41.8 million, lifting cash and marketable securities above $86 million. A named deal would show how LGL plans to use that money.
Watch forLGL names a deal in defense technology, precision timing, or a related area. It states the deal's size or terms.
Also watch forBy the next two earnings reports, LGL has not named an investment, acquisition, or partnership. Or it reports a material cash decline without naming a use.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$132 on $10,000 · ±1.3% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $344 loss on $10,000 · 3.4% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $1,525 loss on $10,000 · 15.3% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.