LGL Group Inc/The (LGL)
AMEXInformation TechnologyHardware, Equipment & PartsSnapshot 2026-09-04
$7.50+0.67%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
AMEXInformation TechnologyHardware, Equipment & PartsSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · LGL
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits well below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 50.3% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 55.7% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
No outside relationship met the current evidence threshold.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 5.4 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Elevated risk of a next-quarter earnings miss: this name is on a run of consecutive earnings misses and is a smaller-cap name (higher miss base rate). A fundamental tilt, not a price call.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 41 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
LGL — earnings miss
Dated 2026-08-14
Results of Operations and Financial Condition On August 14, 2026, The LGL Group, Inc. ("LGL Group" or the "Company") issued a press release announcing its financial results for the second quarter ended June 30, 2026. A copy of the press release is attached hereto as Exhibit 99.1 and is incorporated by reference herein. The information in this Current Report on Form 8-K, including the exhibits hereto, is being furnished and shall not be deemed "filed" for purposes of Section 18 of the Securiti…
Why it matters: Better gross margin means improved cost control. It also shows better pricing strategies.
Supportive ifGross margin exceeds 50% in upcoming quarters.
Worry ifGross margin remains below 50%.
Why it matters: Keeping revenue steady is key for future growth and investor trust. It shows market demand.
Supportive ifQ2 revenue shows no decline from the $1,085,000 reported in Q1.
Worry ifQ2 revenue declines further from the $1,085,000 reported in Q1.
Why it matters: Slower revenue growth may mean less demand. This can hurt investor confidence.
Worry ifQ3 revenue growth lands below 20% year over year.
Less concerning ifQ3 revenue growth exceeds 20% year over year.
Why it matters: Gross margin trends impact profitability. A decline could signal issues in cost control.
Worry ifGross margin falls below 49% in Q3.
Less concerning ifGross margin improves to above 51% in Q3.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$101 on $10,000 · ±1.0% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $354 loss on $10,000 · 3.5% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $1,997 loss on $10,000 · 20.0% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: Growth in this segment is key for LGL's overall performance. A strong showing could boost investor confidence.
Supportive ifIn Q3, revenue from the Electronic Instruments segment is over $750,000.
Worry ifIn Q3, revenue from the Electronic Instruments segment is under $750,000.
Why it matters: Improvement in net loss per share signals better financial health and cost control.
Supportive ifNet loss per share improves to less than ($0.06) in Q3.
Worry ifNet loss per share worsens to greater than ($0.06) in Q3.
Why it matters: Keeping expenses in check is key to boosting operating income and profits.
Worry ifOperating costs fall or stay the same compared to Q2 2026.
Less concerning ifOperating expenses rise a lot beyond Q2 levels.
Why it matters: Good operating income shows better control of expenses. It also means more efficiency.
Supportive ifOperating income turns positive in the next quarter.
Worry ifOperating income is still in the negative.
Why it matters: More cash reserves allow for investments and growth options.
Supportive ifCash and cash equivalents exceed $90 million by the end of Q3.
Worry ifCash and cash equivalents fall below $85 million.
Why it matters: If sector revenue growth falls, it may signal a slowdown affecting LGL's performance. This could impact investor confidence.
Worry ifSector revenue growth drops below its median, indicating a slowdown.
Less concerning ifSector revenue growth remains above its median.
Why it matters: More backlog means more money in the future. A slowdown might show demand problems.
Supportive ifBacklog increases more than 20% from Q2 to Q3.
Worry ifBacklog decreases or grows less than 10% from Q2 to Q3.
Why it matters: A growing backlog indicates strong future sales potential. It reflects demand for LGL's products.
Supportive ifBacklog exceeds $3.6 million in Q3.
Worry ifBacklog decreases or fails to grow beyond $3.6 million in Q3.