Live Ventures Inc (LIVE)
NASDAQConsumer DiscretionaryHome ImprovementSnapshot 2026-09-04
$8.80+0.34%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQConsumer DiscretionaryHome ImprovementSnapshot 2026-09-04
Broken: Primary pillar broken — Operating income returns to positive territory: GAAP EPS -0.34 vs >0 target.
Live Ventures aims to grow revenue despite recent declines. Management focuses on improving operating income and cash flow. The stock trades very cheaply with a PE of 1.68. Analysts expect about 8.5% revenue growth next year.
Revenue and operating income are falling, with Q2 revenue down 5.6% and operating income negative. Cash flow turned negative in Q2. Goodwill impairment signals deeper problems. The recent sharp stock selloff reflects these risks.
The market prices in about 8.5% revenue growth next year and values the stock cheaply with a PE far below peers. Our fair value is near $48, close to consensus estimates. The risk is that earnings and cash flow fail to recover as hoped.
Breaks if: Cash flow from operations remains negative for two consecutive quarters beyond FY26
Breaks if: Operating income remains negative for two consecutive quarters beyond FY26
Breaks if: YoY revenue growth falls below 5% next year
This is not a price target or investment advice.
A long-form read on the 1–3 year hold thesis. It updates when the weekly evidence changes.
This is a turnaround investment thesis with a focus on improving segments. The current state reflects mixed results, with management prioritizing revenue growth in Retail-Entertainment but struggling in Retail-Flooring.
The market appears to have priced in a high valuation, indicating expectations of future growth despite current losses. There is a notable premium compared to peers, suggesting that investors are anticipating improvements.
Fundamentals may show continued pressure, especially in the Retail-Flooring segment, which has seen significant revenue declines. Management's focus on cost efficiency and profitability is ongoing, but recent performance has been neutral.
The thesis hinges on management's ability to improve performance in the Retail-Flooring segment and the overall Consumer Discretionary sector's health. Key triggers include potential earnings guidance cuts and inflation trends that could impact consumer spending.
Over the next 1 to 3 years, the outlook remains cautious due to high risks and mixed management execution. Not investment advice.
The most important moves since the prior daily snapshot.
Yes, our read has weakened. Falling revenue impacts operating income and cash flow objectives. This change is linked to the company's outline of $9.5 million remaining under its share repurchase program.
as of 2026-09-04
Review the evidence to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.