Expectations trend
FY2027 · fiscal year ending 2027-09-30 · fmp
Live Ventures Inc (LIVE)
NASDAQConsumer DiscretionaryHome ImprovementSnapshot 2026-11-04
$7.50+0.67%
Close 2026-11-05 · 1-day change
NASDAQConsumer DiscretionaryHome ImprovementSnapshot 2026-11-04
The long-term thesis, the evidence coming in, and the environment around it. Thesis dated Jul 8, 2026.
Next-FY EPS estimate change · 30 days
Matching fiscal periods, usable estimates and at least one analyst are required.
One observable signal. This measures changing earnings expectations, not the probability of a gain or loss.
The calculation requires same-period, same-provider snapshots, positive EPS, at least one analyst and a baseline within three days of the requested lookback.
The EPS and P/E reference is not available for LIVE yet.
| Measure / period | Management expectations | Analyst expectations |
|---|
Management figures unavailable.
Current consensus figures unavailable.
Three published thesis conditions, with dated milestones shown separately.
| Key Factor | Why It Matters | Current Status | Break Condition | Latest Evidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Positive cash flow from operations | Management focuses on improving operating income and cash flow. | Improving | Cash flow from operations remains negative for two consecutive quarters beyond FY26 | Cash from operations: $7.602M FY2026-Q3; GAAP. Published target: >0 USD cash flow from operations. Annual target cannot be compared with a quarterly or TTM observation. Aug 13, 20267,602,000 USD · source valueLast status assessment Nov 4, 2026Compare required operating outcomesCompare scope, accounting basis and period before treating this evidence as progress against an annual requirement. |
Compare these dated observations with the operating requirements above
FY2027 · fiscal year ending 2027-09-30 · fmp
The evidence, the remaining questions, and what comes next
No recovery evidence is reported in the available driver assessments.
Dec 10, 2026
Look for updated results and guidance against the published targets, plus direct evidence for unresolved drivers.
Observed price history; separate from operating scenarios
The weekly editorial context below is a separate assessment from the dated monitor evidence above. Recovery observations do not automatically change the published thesis. Unverified outside influences are hypotheses, not measured driver evidence.
This is a high-risk, loss-making business with uneven results, rather than a proven durable compounder. Its long-term thesis is in a watch state: Retail-Entertainment is improving, but the Flooring segment remains weak and the overall signal recently shifted from mildly favorable to mixed.
The valuation evidence points to LIVE being cheap versus peers, but the expectations gap is negative, meaning market expectations appear more demanding than the model’s view of the fundamentals. The priced-in signal is tagged as justified, with low fragility; the evidence does not spell out the specific assumptions already reflected in valuation.
Near term, earnings risk is elevated because LIVE has missed across recent quarters, and a guidance cut would add pressure to the business outlook. Over the multi-year view, Retail-Entertainment growth and improved segment profitability are encouraging, but Flooring revenue and operating losses have worsened, while overall operating income and adjusted EBITDA declined year over year.
The thesis hinges on whether management can keep growing Retail-Entertainment while reducing Flooring’s losses and improving performance. Near-term results also depend on guidance and sector signals: continued strength from Home Depot, Lowe’s, and Floor & Decor could support the sector backdrop, while weaker results or guidance from those companies could remove that support.
For the next 1 to 3 years, LIVE remains a mixed, high-risk long-term thesis, with one segment showing progress and another still under strain. The next earnings and guidance update, alongside progress in Flooring, will be important to the business outlook. Not investment advice.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
| Management focuses on improving operating income and cash flow. |
| Broken |
| Operating income remains negative for two consecutive quarters beyond FY26 |
Operating income: $5.283M FY2026-Q3; GAAP. Published target: >0 USD operating income. Annual target cannot be compared with a quarterly or TTM observation. Aug 13, 20265,283,000 USD · source valueLast status assessment Nov 4, 2026Compare required operating outcomesCompare scope, accounting basis and period before treating this evidence as progress against an annual requirement. |
Revenue growth at or above consensus | A primary condition in Live Ventures Inc's published investment case. The stated target is >=8.5% YoY revenue growth. | Broken | YoY revenue growth falls below 5% next year | Revenue growth: -3.22% FY2026-Q3; GAAP. Published target: >=8.5% YoY revenue growth. Annual target cannot be compared with a quarterly or TTM observation. Aug 13, 2026-3.216031 percent · calculatedLast status assessment Nov 4, 2026Compare required operating outcomesCompare scope, accounting basis and period before treating this evidence as progress against an annual requirement. |
Stored thesis · Jul 8, 2026. Latest Evidence uses source-matched measurements where available, alongside the last thesis-monitor assessment. Source periods and assessment dates are shown separately. A new measurement does not automatically change the published status or verify an older target.
$9.40 → $9.40 · observed estimates
$0.52B → $0.52B · observed estimates
One fiscal period and provider throughout. At least five contributors are required for each plotted metric; missing coverage stays a gap. Axes show the observed range. Counts measure coverage, not revisions.
| Snapshot | EPS | Revenue | EPS / revenue analysts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-24 | $9.40 | $520,290,938 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-07-25 | $9.40 | $520,290,938 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-07-26 | $9.40 | $520,290,938 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-07-27 | $9.40 | $520,290,938 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-07-28 | $9.40 | $520,290,938 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-07-29 | $9.40 | $520,290,938 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-07-30 | $9.40 | $520,290,938 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-07-31 | $9.40 | $520,290,938 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-01 | $9.40 | $520,290,938 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-02 | $9.40 | $520,290,938 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-03 | $9.40 | $520,290,938 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-04 | $9.40 | $520,290,938 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-05 | $9.40 | $520,290,938 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-06 | $9.40 | $520,290,938 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-07 | $9.40 | $520,290,938 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-08 | $9.40 | $520,290,938 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-09 | $9.40 | $520,290,938 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-10 | $9.40 | $520,290,938 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-12 | $9.40 | $520,290,938 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-13 | $9.40 | $520,290,938 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-14 | $9.40 | $520,290,938 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-15 | $9.40 | $520,290,938 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-16 | $9.40 | $520,290,938 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-17 | $9.40 | $520,290,938 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-18 | $9.40 | $520,290,938 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-19 | $9.40 | $520,290,938 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-20 | $9.40 | $520,290,938 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-21 | $9.40 | $520,290,938 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-22 | $9.40 | $520,290,938 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-23 | $9.40 | $520,290,938 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-24 | $9.40 | $520,290,938 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-25 | $9.40 | $520,290,938 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-26 | $9.40 | $520,290,938 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-27 | $9.40 | $520,290,938 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-28 | $9.40 | $520,290,938 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-29 | $9.40 | $520,290,938 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-30 | $9.40 | $520,290,938 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-31 | $9.40 | $520,290,938 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-01 | $9.40 | $520,290,938 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-02 | $9.40 | $520,290,938 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-03 | $9.40 | $520,290,938 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-04 | $9.40 | $520,290,938 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-05 | $9.40 | $520,290,938 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-06 | $9.40 | $520,290,938 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-07 | $9.40 | $520,290,938 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-08 | $9.40 | $520,290,938 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-09 | $9.40 | $520,290,938 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-10 | $9.40 | $520,290,938 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-11 | $9.40 | $520,290,938 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-12 | $9.40 | $520,290,938 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-13 | $9.40 | $520,290,938 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-14 | $9.40 | $520,290,938 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-15 | $9.40 | $520,290,938 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-16 | $9.40 | $520,290,938 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-17 | $9.40 | $520,290,938 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-18 | $9.40 | $520,290,938 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-19 | $9.40 | $520,290,938 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-20 | $9.40 | $520,290,938 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-21 | $9.40 | $520,290,938 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-22 | $9.40 | $520,290,938 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-23 | $9.40 | $520,290,938 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-24 | $9.40 | $520,290,938 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-25 | $9.40 | $520,290,938 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-26 | $9.40 | $520,290,938 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-27 | $9.40 | $520,290,938 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-28 | $9.40 | $520,290,938 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-29 | $9.40 | $520,290,938 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-30 | $9.40 | $520,290,938 | 1 / 1 |
Revenue and EPS estimates track expectations. They are not delivered results or like-for-like proof of a required annual path.
Monthly analyst history is unavailable.
Recent actions · Oct 6–Nov 4 · 0 recorded
Individual price-target observations are unavailable.
0 raises · 0 cuts · 0 unchanged · 0 without a comparable prior
Oct 6, 2026–Nov 4, 2026. Each firm's latest positive target is paired only with its immediately prior positive target from the same provider, at most 180 days earlier. Unmatched observations have one dot; conflicting observations are not compared.
3 of 3 published conditions remain under pressure or need verification. The next results need to address those conditions.
The dated weekly assessment and its assumptions are available in Read detailed Outlook.