Lovesac Co. (The) (LOVE)
NASDAQConsumer DiscretionaryFurnishings, Fixtures & AppliancesSnapshot 2026-09-04
$16.69+4.64%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQConsumer DiscretionaryFurnishings, Fixtures & AppliancesSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · LOVE
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits well below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -32.3% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 20.4% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 52.7 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 16 industry peers
LOVE — officer change
Dated 2025-11-20
Director — Wan Ling Martello: Ms. Wan Ling Martello was appointed to the Board of Directors and will receive compensation as per the Company's policy.
Why it matters: The guidance will show if the company can meet its revenue goals. It is crucial for investor confidence.
Supportive ifQ2 net sales guidance is above $157 million.
Worry ifQ2 net sales guidance is below $157 million.
Why it matters: Higher net income shows better financial health. It also means the company runs well.
Supportive ifNet income for Q2 is better than a loss of $3 million.
Worry ifNet income for Q2 is worse than a loss of $7 million.
Why it matters: The company is behind on its revenue goals. Positive growth would indicate improvement.
Supportive ifQ1 revenue growth turns positive year over year, exceeding the current target of $700M to $740M.
Worry ifQ1 revenue keeps going down compared to last year. This shows more problems ahead.
Why it matters: The new CFO's plans might change how the company does financially. Good changes can show strong leadership.
Supportive ifThe company says its financial numbers got better after the CFO change.
Worry ifFinancial numbers drop or do not improve after the CFO change.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$189 on $10,000 · ±1.9% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $482 loss on $10,000 · 4.8% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $4,920 loss on $10,000 · 49.2% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: A net loss greater than this would show ongoing struggles to improve profitability.
Worry ifNet income reported worse than -$7 million.
Less concerning ifNet income reported better than -$3 million.
Why it matters: A new CFO can bring fresh strategies. Positive market reaction could boost investor confidence.
Supportive ifThe stock price goes up a lot after Andrew Farag is named CFO.
Worry ifStock price declines or remains flat after the CFO announcement.
Why it matters: Revenue growth is crucial for Lovesac to meet its $700M to $740M target for the year.
Supportive ifQ2 revenue is over $157 million. This shows a good growth trend.
Worry ifQ2 revenue falls below $157 million, showing continued decline.
Why it matters: New product launches are critical for Lovesac's growth strategy and market share.
Supportive ifSuccessful launch of the new high-end sectional platform this year.
Worry ifThe launch does not bring in many sales. There is also little customer interest.
Why it matters: Making products at home could lower costs and speed up delivery. This would help profits.
Supportive ifThey said they will start making Sactionals seat inserts in the U.S. as planned.
Worry ifThere could be a delay or cancellation of the domestic production plan.
Why it matters: His leadership may help the company make more money and run better.
Supportive ifFinancial numbers got better after he took the job.
Worry ifFinancial metrics kept declining after the change.
Why it matters: Better net income shows stronger financial health. It also means improved cost management.
Supportive ifNet income reported at $5 million or higher.
Worry ifNet income reported below $5 million.
Why it matters: Making Sactionals seat inserts in the U.S. would cut costs and boost profits.
Supportive ifThey announced that Sactionals seat inserts are now made in the U.S.
Worry ifThere are delays or problems with the U.S. production plan.
Why it matters: Meeting this sales target would show progress towards the company's revenue growth goal for fiscal 2027.
Supportive ifQ2 net sales reported at $157 million or higher.
Worry ifQ2 net sales reported below $157 million.
Why it matters: A smaller net loss shows better financial health. It means progress towards making money.
Supportive ifNet income reported at -$3 million or better.
Worry ifNet income reported worse than -$7 million.
Why it matters: Using less cash in operations shows better cash management. It also means more efficiency.
Supportive ifCash from operations reported at less than -$30 million.
Worry ifCash from operations reported worse than -$35 million.