Lovesac Co. (The) (LOVE)
NASDAQConsumer DiscretionaryFurnishings, Fixtures & AppliancesSnapshot 2026-11-04
$17.21+8.24%
Close 2026-11-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQConsumer DiscretionaryFurnishings, Fixtures & AppliancesSnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · LOVE
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits well below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -28.2% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
| 21.1% |
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 49.3 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 7 industry peers
LOVE — officer change
Dated 2025-11-20
Director — Wan Ling Martello: Ms. Wan Ling Martello was appointed to the Board of Directors and will receive compensation as per the Company's policy.
Why it matters: Q2 gross margin was 68.4%, but tariff refunds added 12.4 points. The margin without refunds was 56.0%.
Worry ifQ3 gross margin excluding tariff refunds falls below 56.0%.
Less concerning ifQ3 gross margin excluding tariff refunds rises above 56.0%.
Why it matters: Management tied its product plan to growth and said New Room is due in early 2027. Sales would show if the launch gains traction.
Supportive ifLovesac launches New Room in early 2027 and reports sales from the new product line.
Worry ifThe launch slips past early 2027, or the next results report no sales from New Room.
Why it matters: Lovesac cut its FY27 sales range from $700–$740 million to $690–$710 million. Sales below the new floor would deepen the growth concern.
Worry ifFY27 net sales come in below $690 million, the low end of the current range.
Less concerning ifFY27 net sales reach at least $690 million.
Why it matters: Comparable sales fell 1.9% in Q2. Positive growth would show that sales are rising beyond new showrooms.
Supportive ifQ3 FY27 omni-channel comparable net sales rise from a year ago, after falling 1.9% in Q2.
Worry ifQ3 FY27 omni-channel comparable net sales fall from a year ago again.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$206 on $10,000 · ±2.1% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $502 loss on $10,000 · 5.0% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $3,453 loss on $10,000 · 34.5% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: The report can test sales, margins, and the lower full-year sales range. Consumer Discretionary sector data is mixed.
Watch forLOVE reports higher comparable sales and keeps FY27 sales at $690 million or more.
Also watch forLOVE reports another drop in comparable sales or cuts its FY27 sales range below $690 million.
Why it matters: Management said U.S. production could cut cost swings and shipping risk. Lower costs would support margins.
Supportive ifThe next results report says U.S.-made Sactionals seat inserts lowered costs or shipping time.
Worry ifThe next results report says U.S. seat insert production did not start or did not lower costs or shipping time.