Lattice Semiconductor (LSCC)
NASDAQInformation TechnologySemiconductorsSnapshot 2026-09-04
$115.90+2.00%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQInformation TechnologySemiconductorsSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · LSCC
Price, fair value, and the multiples that frame it on the same time axis. Scroll over the price chart to zoom.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots inline.
A consensus fair price across 10 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-09-04. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
We take the 12-month fair value above and grade our own number — how the market prices this name versus what we'd justify, and where the two diverge.
At $116, LSCC's earnings are too small for P/E to mean much; on sales it trades at 26× p/s (3.1× the 8.3× p/s peer median, and 0.9× even its own history). At a normal multiple the price implies ~42% near-term growth vs our ~70% forecast. That gap is an optionality premium a financial-multiple model can't price — our $82 fair value covers only the as-is business, low confidence. Analysts target $160–$180. Note: our $82 fair value sits below the entire analyst range ($160–$180). The flat-multiple read looks rich, but earnings are inflecting up — trailing growth is accelerating and forward estimates confirm — so we've softened our read rather than brand an accelerating name expensive. Even valued only for durable growth at sustainable margins, it's worth about $168 — above today's price, so the premium reflects that growth case, not pure multiple expansion. Not investment advice.
One valuation read at a 12-month horizon, plus how price compares to peers and the company's own history.
Score 100 = cheapest in the cohort, 0 = richest. Bars are filled left-to-right based on the peer-relative score (or PEG/self-history where shown).
Each method's implied share price per horizon. Provisional rows use a projected (historical-CAGR) growth input rather than analyst or management guidance.
| Method | Horizon | Est. price | Multiple | Per-share input | EPS source | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| analyst target | 12M | $175.00 | — | — | Analyst | medium |
| dcf fcfe | 12M | $14.70 | — | — | Hist. CAGR | medium |
| dcf fcff | 12M | $15.93 | — | — | Hist. CAGR | medium |
| graham number | 12M | $12.47 | — | — | TTM | medium |
| Peer EV/EBITDA |
A “consensus-then vs. actual-now” overlay is on the way — what our valuation estimate said on a past date versus where the price actually landed.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Above average on quality vs scored peers
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
$160.00 – $180.00 (median $175.00) · 5 analysts · as of 2026-08-05
Flags: expensive valuation, weak execution quality. Capped at elevated by the Mania regime.
For similar setups historically (n=2,301): about 43% saw a 20%+ drawdown, and roughly 77% of those did not recover within the year. These are historical base rates for the cohort, not a forecast of this stock.
At today's price you pay about 576% over what the business is worth with no growth; closing that gap needs roughly 4.0 years of the forecast growth to come through. These describe the expectations embedded in the price, not a forecast of the move. Reverse-DCF base: $1.36/sh owner earnings.
Looks more expensive than peers.
Around its own typical valuation.
Trailing four: 2025-Q2, 2025-Q3, 2026-Q1, 2026-Q2
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
| 12M |
| $15.48 |
| 22.3 |
| 0.64 |
| TTM |
| medium |
| Peer P/FCF | 12M | $70.18 | 46.6 | 1.51 | TTM | medium |
| Peer P/E | 12M | $72.13 | 25.3 | 2.85 | ntm analyst | medium |
| Peer P/S | 12M | $37.12 | 8.3 | 4.49 | TTM | medium |
| Own P/E history | 12M | $121.61 | 98.9 | 1.23 | TTM | medium |
| triangulated | 12M | $62.50 | 49.4 | 1.27 | Triangulated | medium |
| Peer P/FCF | 3Y | $63.09 | 46.6 | 1.35 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/E | 3Y | $102.48 | 25.3 | 4.06 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/S | 3Y | $99.30 | 8.3 | 12.00 | Analyst | medium |
| Own P/E history | 3Y | $401.01 | 98.9 | 4.06 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/FCF | 5Y | $58.76 | 46.6 | 1.26 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/E | 5Y | $135.53 | 25.3 | 5.36 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/S | 5Y | $131.32 | 8.3 | 15.87 | Analyst | medium |
| Own P/E history | 5Y | $530.34 | 98.9 | 5.36 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |