Lattice Semiconductor (LSCC)
NASDAQInformation TechnologySemiconductorsSnapshot 2026-09-04
$115.90+2.00%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQInformation TechnologySemiconductorsSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · LSCC
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 41.7% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 70.1% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 28.4 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 71 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
LSCC — earnings miss
Dated 2026-08-04
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On August 4, 2026, the Company issued a press release announcing the Company's financial results for the quarter ended July 4, 2026. A copy of the press release is furnished (not filed) as Exhibit 99.1 to this Current Report on Form 8-K. The information in Exhibit 99.1 shall not be deemed to be “filed” for the purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (the “Exchange Act”), or incorporated by reference in any filing…
Why it matters: Gross margin guidance shows Lattice can keep making money while growing. Strong margins help investor trust.
Supportive ifQ3 2026 gross margin guidance remains at or above 70% non-GAAP.
Worry ifQ3 2026 gross margin guidance drops below 68% non-GAAP.
Why it matters: The guidance for FPGA revenue growth shows if Lattice can sustain its momentum. A strong forecast indicates continued demand and market share gains.
Supportive ifQ3 2026 FPGA revenue growth guidance exceeds 65% year-over-year.
Worry ifQ3 2026 FPGA revenue growth guidance falls below 50% year-over-year.
Why it matters: This purchase could improve Lattice's products and help its market position.
Supportive ifThe acquisition closes successfully by the end of Q3 2026.
Worry ifThe acquisition faces delays or fails to close.
Why it matters: Gross margin performance will show if Lattice can stay profitable after buying AMI.
Worry ifQ3 2026 gross margin is over 70%. This shows good cost control after the acquisition.
Less concerning ifQ3 2026 gross margin is below 69.5%. This suggests possible cost pressures.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$247 on $10,000 · ±2.5% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $601 loss on $10,000 · 6.0% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $2,807 loss on $10,000 · 28.1% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: Continued growth in new products is crucial for Lattice's long-term success in AI markets.
Supportive ifNew product revenue growth is over 60% year-over-year in future reports.
Worry ifNew product revenue growth is below 60% year-over-year. This shows demand issues.
Why it matters: Net income guidance shows Lattice's profit outlook. Strong earnings guidance can improve investor feelings.
Supportive ifQ3 2026 net income guidance is between $0.54 and $0.58 per share non-GAAP.
Worry ifQ3 2026 net income guidance falls below $0.50 per share non-GAAP.
Why it matters: Staying within this range shows cost control amid growth efforts.
Supportive ifOperating costs were at or below $64 million.
Worry ifOperating costs are over $67 million.