Lattice Semiconductor (LSCC)
NASDAQInformation TechnologySemiconductorsSnapshot 2026-11-04
$107.25+1.26%
Close 2026-11-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQInformation TechnologySemiconductorsSnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · LSCC
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 30.8% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 79.7% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 48.9 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 40 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
LSCC — officer change
Dated 2026-10-22
Director — John McCool, Raejeanne Skillern: The filing discloses the appointment of two new independent directors to expand the board, which is a routine governance action rather than an executive departure.
Why it matters: Q2 sales grew 62% year over year, but EPS fell from $0.16 to $0.14 on a GAAP basis. Q3 results will show how growth affects profit.
Supportive ifQ3 non-GAAP EPS is at least $0.54, within or above the stated $0.54 to $0.58 range.
Worry ifQ3 non-GAAP EPS is below $0.54.
Why it matters: AMI's open approach is central to its customer and partner ties. Losing that trust could weaken the value of the acquisition.
Worry ifAMI confirms it still serves customers across silicon vendors. Lattice names no customer or partner loss tied to its ownership.
Less concerning ifAMI or Lattice reports a major customer or partner loss linked to AMI's ownership. Or it reports a move away from silicon-neutral products.
Why it matters: Lattice said new products grew over 60% year over year and could make up more than 25% of 2026 revenue. That would show demand beyond current products.
Supportive ifLattice reports that new products made up more than 25% of 2026 revenue.
Worry ifLattice reports that new products made up 25% or less of 2026 revenue, or that their sales fell year over year.
Why it matters: Lattice set Q3 revenue guidance of $245 million to $265 million, including AMI. Results test its growth path toward a $1 billion annual run rate.
Supportive ifQ3 revenue, including AMI, is at least $245 million, and FPGA revenue is at least $210 million.
Worry ifQ3 revenue, including AMI, is below $245 million or FPGA revenue is below $210 million.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$221 on $10,000 · ±2.2% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $628 loss on $10,000 · 6.3% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $4,012 loss on $10,000 · 40.1% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: AMI is newly part of Lattice, and Q3 guidance includes about two months of its revenue. Reported results can test the stated growth and margin goals.
Supportive ifLattice reports AMI revenue that supports total Q3 revenue of at least $245 million. AMI non-GAAP gross margin is on track to top 75% by year-end.
Worry ifLattice reports AMI revenue too low to meet the $245 million Q3 floor. Or it says AMI cannot reach its year-end margin goal.