INNOVATIVE EYEWEAR INC (LUCY)
NASDAQHealth CareMedical - Instruments & SuppliesSnapshot 2026-11-05
$0.82-2.69%
Close 2026-11-05 · 1-day change
NASDAQHealth CareMedical - Instruments & SuppliesSnapshot 2026-11-05
QuarterlyIQ Insights · LUCY
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
No current thesis-health read is available for this company.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -81.9% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 100.0% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
No outside relationship met the current evidence threshold.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-05.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 181.9 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-05 · Compared with 15 industry peers
LUCY — legal / regulatory event — Notice of Delisting or Failure to Satisfy a Continued Listing Rule or Standar…
Dated 2026-10-15
Notice of Delisting or Failure to Satisfy a Continued Listing Rule or Standard; Transfer of Listing. On October 9, 2026, Innovative Eyewear, Inc., a Florida corporation (the “ Company ”), received a written notice (the “ Notice ”) from the Listing Qualifications Department (the “ Staff ”) of The Nasdaq Stock Market LLC (“ Nasdaq ”) indicating that the Company is not in compliance with Nasdaq Listing Rule 5550(a)(2). which sets forth the minimum bid price requirement for continued listing on t…
Why it matters: Nasdaq cited a minimum bid-price rule. A compliance update would show whether the listing risk is easing.
Watch forLUCY reports that Nasdaq has confirmed compliance with Rule 5550(a)(2), or grants a compliance period with clear steps met.
Also watch forNasdaq moves to delist LUCY, or LUCY reports it failed to regain compliance by its deadline.
Why it matters: The estimate marks a record quarter, but it is unaudited. The November 12 report can confirm the sales figure.
Watch forThe Q3 filing reports net sales at or above $1.04 million, up about 55% year over year.
Also watch forThe Q3 filing reports net sales below $1.04 million or growth below 55% year over year.
Why it matters: The Australian and New Zealand order is not in Q3 sales. Shipping and repeat orders would show whether the new distributor channel is active.
Supportive ifLUCY reports shipping the order for more than 3,000 units. It later reports a reorder from Directed Electronics.
Worry ifThe October shipment is delayed or canceled, or no reorder is reported by the end of 2027.
Why it matters: More than 150 stores are set to carry Lucyd Armor. Sales would show whether this new channel adds demand.
Supportive ifThe retailer starts sales in more than 150 stores. LUCY reports follow-up orders or sales from the rollout.
Worry ifThe retailer does not start sales in the planned stores, or LUCY reports no follow-up orders.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$281 on $10,000 · ±2.8% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $899 loss on $10,000 · 9.0% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $6,323 loss on $10,000 · 63.2% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: Management plans to launch Lucyd Aero in holiday 2026. Sales would test demand for the new product.
Supportive ifLUCY confirms Lucyd Aero launched in holiday 2026. It reports sales or orders for the collection.
Worry ifThe launch slips past holiday 2026, or the next report gives no launch or sales update.
Why it matters: LUCY remains loss-making and has used cash in operations. The filing can show whether sales growth is easing that pressure.
Worry ifQ3 net loss grows from $1.67 million in Q2, or cash from operations stays negative with no stated drop in cash use.
Less concerning ifQ3 net loss narrows from $1.67 million and cash from operations shows less cash use than the prior quarter.