Livewire Group, Inc. (LVWR)
NYSEConsumer DiscretionaryAuto - Recreational VehiclesSnapshot 2026-11-04
$0.58-2.96%
Close 2026-11-04 · 1-day change
NYSEConsumer DiscretionaryAuto - Recreational VehiclesSnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · LVWR
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits well below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 364.1% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 24.4% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
No outside relationship met the current evidence threshold.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 339.7 percentage points more one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 4 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
LVWR — CEO transition
Dated 2026-10-26
CEO — Karim Donnez: The sudden resignation of the CEO, coupled with the immediate formation of a Special Restructuring Committee, indicates a significant leadership vacuum and potential financial distress.
Why it matters: LiveWire reported substantial doubt about its ability to continue for one year. A signed deal could address its funding gap.
Supportive ifA filing or company release names a completed funding or strategic deal. It also lists the terms.
Worry ifThe next filing reports no deal, failed talks, or cash that cannot fund operations for the next year.
Why it matters: The company cited limited cash and debt due in December 2027. The 10-Q is due by November 9 and can show its cash needs and funding plan.
Worry ifThe 10-Q gives a funding plan that covers expected cash needs through the December 2027 debt maturity.
Less concerning ifThe 10-Q says funds may not cover the next year, or gives no workable plan for the 2027 debt maturity.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$567 on $10,000 · ±5.7% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $1,311 loss on $10,000 · 13.1% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $8,889 loss on $10,000 · 88.9% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.