Masco (MAS)
NYSEIndustrialsConstruction MaterialsSnapshot 2026-09-04
$72.70+1.79%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NYSEIndustrialsConstruction MaterialsSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · MAS
Price, fair value, and the multiples that frame it on the same time axis. Scroll over the price chart to zoom.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots inline.
A consensus fair price across 11 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-09-04. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
We take the 12-month fair value above and grade our own number — how the market prices this name versus what we'd justify, and where the two diverge.
At $73 MAS trades at 16× p/e, below its 19× p/e peer median. Our $125 fair value sits well above the price. We hold it with low confidence: our number sits well above the analyst range. Analysts target $74–$94. Note: our $125 fair value sits above the entire analyst range ($74–$94). Not investment advice.
One valuation read at a 12-month horizon, plus how price compares to peers and the company's own history.
Score 100 = cheapest in the cohort, 0 = richest. Bars are filled left-to-right based on the peer-relative score (or PEG/self-history where shown).
Each method's implied share price per horizon. Provisional rows use a projected (historical-CAGR) growth input rather than analyst or management guidance.
| Method | Horizon | Est. price | Multiple | Per-share input | EPS source | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| analyst target | 12M | $82.00 | — | — | Analyst | medium |
| dcf fcfe | 12M | $262.77 | — | — | Hist. CAGR | medium |
| dcf fcff | 12M | $273.76 | — | — | Hist. CAGR | medium |
| ddm gordon | 12M | $15.78 | — | — | TTM | medium |
| Peer EV/EBITDA |
A “consensus-then vs. actual-now” overlay is on the way — what our valuation estimate said on a past date versus where the price actually landed.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Around the middle on quality vs scored peers
A second lens on the 12-month fair value: for companies that score high on measured quality (profitability, balance-sheet safety, earnings stability), this read trusts more of today's profit margins instead of averaging them toward their multi-year history the way the headline number does. Shown alongside the fair value above, not in place of it. A diagnostic, not a price target or a buy/sell signal.
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
$74.00 – $94.00 (median $82.00) · 5 analysts · as of 2026-08-24
Only weak execution quality — not the full expensive x weak x turbulent stack. Regime (Mania) does not concentrate fragility.
For similar setups historically (n=20,154): about 33% saw a 20%+ drawdown, and roughly 76% of those did not recover within the year. These are historical base rates for the cohort, not a forecast of this stock.
At today's price the business can't be justified by any reasonable horizon of the forecast growth; the price already runs past what the model can underwrite. These describe the expectations embedded in the price, not a forecast of the move. Reverse-DCF base: $3.94/sh owner earnings.
Looks cheaper than most peers in the same business.
Around its own typical valuation.
Trailing four: 2025-Q2, 2025-Q3, 2026-Q1, 2026-Q2
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
| 12M |
| $82.54 |
| 11.6 |
| 8.30 |
| TTM |
| medium |
| Peer P/FCF | 12M | $136.56 | 18.7 | 7.30 | TTM | medium |
| Peer P/E | 12M | $76.66 | 16.6 | 4.62 | ntm analyst | medium |
| Peer P/S | 12M | $69.96 | 1.8 | 38.29 | TTM | medium |
| PEG | 12M | $33.52 | 7.5 | 4.47 | TTM | medium |
| Own P/E history | 12M | $76.90 | 17.2 | 4.47 | TTM | medium |
| triangulated | 12M | $88.55 | 19.1 | 4.64 | Triangulated | medium |
| Peer P/FCF | 3Y | $207.68 | 18.7 | 11.10 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/E | 3Y | $80.80 | 16.6 | 4.87 | Analyst | medium |
| Peer P/S | 3Y | $75.55 | 1.8 | 41.35 | Analyst | medium |
| PEG | 3Y | $36.48 | 7.5 | 4.87 | Analyst | medium |
| Own P/E history | 3Y | $83.70 | 17.2 | 4.87 | Analyst | medium |
| Peer P/FCF | 5Y | $274.66 | 18.7 | 14.69 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | high |
| Peer P/E | 5Y | $84.95 | 16.6 | 5.11 | Analyst | high |
| Peer P/S | 5Y | $79.43 | 1.8 | 43.47 | Analyst | high |
| PEG | 5Y | $38.35 | 7.5 | 5.11 | Analyst | high |
| Own P/E history | 5Y | $87.99 | 17.2 | 5.11 | Analyst | high |