Masco (MAS)
NYSEIndustrialsConstruction MaterialsSnapshot 2026-09-04
$72.70+1.79%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NYSEIndustrialsConstruction MaterialsSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · MAS
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -42.0% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 2.5% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Usually moved in the opposite direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market and long-term interest rates.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 44.5 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 26 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
MAS — President transition
Dated 2026-04-21
Group President, Plumbing and Wellness — Jai Shah: Mr. Shah is concluding his service with the company.
Why it matters: Higher shareholder returns show strong cash flow. It also shows commitment to investors.
Supportive ifShareholder returns are over $500 million in Q3.
Worry ifShareholder returns drop below $400 million in Q3.
Why it matters: Updates on the leadership change can affect how the company runs. This is important for investor trust.
Watch forAnnouncement of a new President for Plumbing and Wellness.
Also watch forNo updates or more leadership problems come up.
Why it matters: Updates on restructuring show how well the company is cutting costs. This affects profits and investor views.
Watch forThey announced cost savings of more than $50 million from restructuring.
Also watch forThey did not report any major cost savings from restructuring.
Why it matters: A smaller sales drop shows better market strength and operational skill.
Supportive ifQ3 net sales decline less than 3% year over year.
Worry ifQ3 net sales decline more than 3% year over year.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$124 on $10,000 · ±1.2% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $302 loss on $10,000 · 3.0% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $2,438 loss on $10,000 · 24.4% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: Sales trends are important. They help us understand market demand and how well the company is doing.
Worry ifNet sales decline more than 2% in Q2 compared to Q1.
Less concerning ifNet sales increase or remain stable compared to Q1.
Why it matters: Changes in EPS guidance show how much management believes in future earnings. This impacts investor feelings.
Supportive ifManagement raises adjusted EPS guidance to more than $4.60 per share.
Worry ifManagement lowers adjusted EPS guidance to less than $4.40 per share.
Why it matters: Meeting the EPS guidance of $4.10 to $4.30 shows strong performance. It confirms management's confidence in the business.
Supportive ifQ2 2026 earnings per share reported within the range of $4.10 to $4.30.
Worry ifQ2 2026 earnings per share reported below $4.10.
Why it matters: The exit of a key executive may change strategy and affect performance.
Worry ifNo negative impacts or issues reported after Jai Shah left.
Less concerning ifReports of problems or strategy issues after the leadership change.
Why it matters: A smooth leadership change is important for stability. It affects long-term plans and actions.
Watch forManagement gives a clear update on the leadership change. Feedback is positive.
Also watch forManagement says there are problems or delays with the leadership change.
Why it matters: Better revenue growth shows demand is coming back. It also shows the company can adapt.
Supportive ifQ2 2026 revenue growth reported above 6% compared to Q1 2026.
Worry ifQ2 2026 revenue growth reported below 6% compared to Q1 2026.
Why it matters: Better margins show the company is running efficiently and managing costs. This can help profits.
Supportive ifOperating margin exceeds 24% in Q3.
Worry ifOperating margin falls below 23% in Q3.
Why it matters: Higher dividends or buybacks show a focus on giving value to shareholders. This can help investor trust.
Supportive ifA new share repurchase program is announced for over $2 billion.
Worry ifNo new news on shareholder returns or a cut in dividend payments.
Why it matters: Sales growth shows market demand and company success. This can change future revenue expectations.
Watch forNorth American sales growth exceeds 5% year over year.
Also watch forNorth American sales decline more than 5% year over year.