Marathon Bancorp Inc (MBBC)
NASDAQFinancialsBanks - RegionalSnapshot 2026-09-04
$15.120.00%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQFinancialsBanks - RegionalSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · MBBC
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits well below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 7.0% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 24.8% |
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 17.8 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Model as of — · Company calendar date is not available
MBBC — officer change
Dated 2026-05-28
The filing is about the approval of a new equity incentive plan and does not involve any changes in management or executive departures.
Why it matters: If financial sector growth slows, it may impact Marathon Bancorp's performance. This is key for future earnings.
Worry ifSector revenue growth drops below its median.
Less concerning ifSector revenue growth remains above its median.
Why it matters: A drop in revenue growth could signal a slowdown in the financial sector's growth phase.
Worry ifMarathon Bancorp's revenue growth drops below the median of 15% year over year.
Less concerning ifRevenue growth remains above the median of 15% year over year.
Why it matters: The stock buyback could signal management's confidence in the company's value. It may also support the stock price.
Supportive ifThe company will start its stock buyback program after it releases earnings.
Worry ifNo announcement of the stock repurchase program by the end of Q3 2026.
Why it matters: Rising unemployment claims can show economic weakness. This can hurt loan performance and bank stability.
Worry ifWeekly unemployment claims go over 300,000 for two weeks in a row.
Less concerning ifWeekly unemployment claims stay below 300,000.
Why it matters: Weak GDP growth can show an economic slowdown. This can hurt bank performance and lending.
Worry ifQ2 GDP growth is reported below 2%.
Less concerning ifQ2 GDP growth is reported at 2% or higher.
Why it matters: Approval could help keep talent and match employee goals with shareholders. It shows management cares about growth.
Supportive ifThe board approves the 2026 Equity Incentive Plan. There are no big changes.
Worry ifIf the plan is rejected or changed a lot, it shows management has trouble keeping talent.
Why it matters: A decline in revenue growth could signal a shift in the financial sector's growth phase. This would impact investor sentiment.
Worry ifRevenue growth falls below the median of 13% year over year.
Less concerning ifRevenue growth stays above the median. This shows the sector is still strong.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
No outside relationship met the current evidence threshold.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$93 on $10,000 · ±0.9% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $323 loss on $10,000 · 3.2% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $1,410 loss on $10,000 · 14.1% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.