MONGODB, INC. (MDB)
NASDAQInformation TechnologySoftware - InfrastructureSnapshot 2026-09-04
$368.74-4.09%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQInformation TechnologySoftware - InfrastructureSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · MDB
Price, fair value, and the multiples that frame it on the same time axis. Scroll over the price chart to zoom.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots inline.
A consensus fair price across 9 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-09-04. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
We take the 12-month fair value above and grade our own number — how the market prices this name versus what we'd justify, and where the two diverge.
At $369 the market pays 11× p/s — above the 4.7× p/s peer median but in line with its own 11× history. That premium reflects a durable franchise our peer-anchored $309 fair value understates; treat the 'expensive vs peers' read with low confidence. Analysts target $315–$560. Note: our $309 fair value sits below the entire analyst range ($315–$560). Not investment advice.
One valuation read at a 12-month horizon, plus how price compares to peers and the company's own history.
Score 100 = cheapest in the cohort, 0 = richest. Bars are filled left-to-right based on the peer-relative score (or PEG/self-history where shown).
Each method's implied share price per horizon. Provisional rows use a projected (historical-CAGR) growth input rather than analyst or management guidance.
| Method | Horizon | Est. price | Multiple | Per-share input | EPS source | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| analyst target | 12M | $462.50 | — | — | Analyst | high |
| dcf fcfe | 12M | $304.91 | — | — | Analyst | high |
| dcf fcff | 12M | $317.55 | — | — | Analyst | high |
| graham number | 12M | $50.02 | — | — | TTM | high |
| Peer P/FCF | 12M |
A “consensus-then vs. actual-now” overlay is on the way — what our valuation estimate said on a past date versus where the price actually landed.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Above average on quality vs scored peers
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
$315.00 – $560.00 (median $462.50) · 24 analysts · as of 2026-09-02
No fragility gates fired. Regime (Mania) does not concentrate fragility.
For similar setups historically (n=20,154): about 33% saw a 20%+ drawdown, and roughly 76% of those did not recover within the year. These are historical base rates for the cohort, not a forecast of this stock.
Looks more expensive than peers.
Self-history needs ~20 months of data.
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
| $219.33 |
| 30.0 |
| 7.31 |
| TTM |
| high |
| Peer P/E | 12M | $201.74 | 27.8 | 7.25 | ntm analyst | high |
| Peer P/S | 12M | $159.42 | 4.7 | 33.94 | TTM | high |
| PEG | 12M | $49.81 | 16.3 | 3.06 | TTM | high |
| triangulated | 12M | $130.50 | 40.3 | 3.24 | Triangulated | high |
| Peer P/E | 3Y | $236.95 | 27.8 | 8.51 | Analyst | medium |
| Peer P/S | 3Y | $224.91 | 4.7 | 47.88 | guidance | medium |
| PEG | 3Y | $138.53 | 16.3 | 8.51 | Analyst | medium |
| Peer P/E | 5Y | $264.48 | 27.8 | 9.50 | Analyst | medium |
| Peer P/S | 5Y | $251.04 | 4.7 | 53.44 | guidance | medium |
| PEG | 5Y | $154.63 | 16.3 | 9.50 | Analyst | medium |