MONGODB, INC. (MDB)
NASDAQInformation TechnologySoftware - InfrastructureSnapshot 2026-11-05
$304.59-7.24%
Close 2026-11-05 · 1-day change
NASDAQInformation TechnologySoftware - InfrastructureSnapshot 2026-11-05
QuarterlyIQ Insights · MDB
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -1.2% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 23.6% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-05.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 24.9 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-05 · Compared with 24 industry peers
MDB — CEO transition
Dated 2026-09-28
CEO — Chirantan Desai: The resignation of the sitting President and CEO is a significant executive departure, even though an interim successor was appointed.
Why it matters: MongoDB raised its full-year guide after 30% quarterly growth. The next report can show if that pace holds as the tech sector's growth trend eases.
Worry ifFY2027 revenue is above $3.03 billion, more than 30% growth from the $2.3 billion annual revenue cited in the CEO release.
Less concerning ifFY2027 revenue is below $2.99 billion, or management cuts the full-year guide.
Why it matters: MongoDB reported a 24% non-GAAP operating margin and $137.6 million in free cash flow. A drop would weaken the recent profit trend.
Worry ifQ3 non-GAAP operating margin falls below 24%, or free cash flow falls below $137.6 million.
Less concerning ifQ3 non-GAAP operating margin is at least 24% and free cash flow is at least $137.6 million.
Why it matters: The board began a search after CJ Desai stepped down. A named leader can show whether the transition is settled.
Watch forMongoDB names a permanent CEO and says when the appointment takes effect.
Also watch forThe interim CEO remains in place with no permanent successor named by the next earnings report.
Why it matters: The December 7 report tests whether strong growth continues. The latest quarter grew 30% year over year.
Watch forQ3 revenue is above $761 million, and Atlas revenue grows faster than 29% year over year.
Also watch forQ3 revenue is below $756 million, or Atlas revenue growth falls below 29% year over year.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$254 on $10,000 · ±2.5% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $741 loss on $10,000 · 7.4% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $4,872 loss on $10,000 · 48.7% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.