MONGODB, INC. (MDB)
NASDAQInformation TechnologySoftware - InfrastructureSnapshot 2026-09-04
$368.74-4.09%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQInformation TechnologySoftware - InfrastructureSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · MDB
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 19.2% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 19.6% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 0.5 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 68 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
MDB — earnings miss
Dated 2026-05-28
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On May 28, 2026, MongoDB, Inc. (the “Company”) issued a press release announcing its financial results for the three months ended April 30, 2026. A copy of the press release is furnished as Exhibit 99.1 to this Current Report on Form 8‑K and is incorporated herein by reference. The information furnished under this Item 2.02, including Exhibit 99.1, shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as a…
Why it matters: Another earnings miss could show bigger problems with execution or market demand. This may hurt investor confidence.
Worry ifEarnings report shows results that meet or exceed expectations.
Less concerning ifEarnings report shows another miss compared to guidance.
Why it matters: A positive net income shows MongoDB is turning around its profits. This is a good sign.
Supportive ifQ2 net income reported as positive.
Worry ifQ2 net income reported as negative.
Why it matters: RPO growth that lasts shows good future revenue and strong customer demand.
Supportive ifRPO reported at 80% growth or higher year-over-year.
Worry ifRPO growth is below 70% compared to last year.
Why it matters: A strong non-GAAP income signal shows better profits. It also shows better operations.
Supportive ifNon-GAAP income from operations was more than $156 million.
Worry ifNon-GAAP income from operations was less than $152 million.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$293 on $10,000 · ±2.9% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $594 loss on $10,000 · 5.9% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $4,872 loss on $10,000 · 48.7% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: Higher earnings per share would indicate better financial health and growth potential.
Supportive ifNet income per share reported above $0.12.
Worry ifNet income per share reported below $0.08.
Why it matters: If sector revenue growth slows, it could hurt MongoDB's performance. This trend affects overall investor confidence.
Worry ifSector revenue growth falls below its median, confirming a slowdown.
Less concerning ifSector revenue growth is still above average. This shows that it is strong.
Why it matters: The earnings report will show how well the company is doing. It will also give future guidance.
Watch forEarnings report shows strong revenue growth and positive outlook.
Also watch forEarnings report shows revenue decline or poor guidance.
Why it matters: The recent earnings miss raises concerns. A recovery in the next quarter would show resilience.
Watch forNext earnings report shows revenue growth or beats expectations after the May 28 earnings miss.
Also watch forThe next earnings report may show lower revenue. It might also miss expectations again.
Why it matters: Meeting or exceeding the guidance shows strong demand and growth momentum. It confirms management's confidence in the business.
Supportive ifQ3 revenue was between $756 million and $761 million. This is above the guidance range.
Worry ifQ3 revenue is below $756 million. This shows weaker demand than expected.
Why it matters: Strong Atlas growth is important for MongoDB's performance. It supports its cloud strategy.
Supportive ifAtlas revenue grew more than 25% year-over-year.
Worry ifAtlas revenue growth is below 25% year-over-year. This suggests a slowdown in cloud use.
Why it matters: Better margins show improved cost management. This is important for long-term growth.
Supportive ifNon-GAAP operating margin is 25% or more.
Worry ifNon-GAAP operating margin is below 24%. This shows cost pressures.
Why it matters: Successful AI features can bring in new customers. They can also engage current customers more.
Supportive ifCustomers are giving positive feedback. More people are using the new AI features.
Worry ifThere is low customer interest in new AI features. This may show a market mismatch.