MEDALIST DIVERSIFIED REIT INC (MDRR)
NASDAQReal EstateReit - DiversifiedSnapshot 2026-11-04
$9.90-8.33%
Close 2026-11-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQReal EstateReit - DiversifiedSnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · MDRR
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -86.9% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 9.8% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
No outside relationship met the current evidence threshold.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 96.7 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Elevated risk of a next-quarter earnings miss: this name is a smaller-cap name (higher miss base rate) and has erratic recent earnings surprises. A fundamental tilt, not a price call.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 12 industry peers
MDRR — capital allocation
Dated 2026-10-13
Creation of a Direct Financial Obligation or an Obligation under an Off-Balance Sheet Arrangement of a Registrant The disclosure pertaining to the Non-Recourse Guaranty, the Completion Guaranty, the Environmental Indemnity and the Contribution Agreement set forth under “
Why it matters: The board declared $0.0675 per share in July and October. Another payment at that level would show the payout continues.
Supportive ifThe board declares another quarterly dividend of at least $0.0675 per share.
Worry ifThe board cuts the dividend below $0.0675 per share or skips a quarterly payment.
Why it matters: The Mira JV adds a new project, while a recent filing lists guarantees and other obligations. Higher costs or debt could add pressure.
Worry ifA filing reports new debt or guarantees tied to the Mira JV, or higher costs tied to the project.
Less concerning ifThe next filing reports no new Mira JV debt or guarantees and no added project costs.
Why it matters: The Tesla-leased DST was the platform’s first offer. Sales progress can show whether the new business can attract investors.
Supportive ifThe Nov. 5 report says MDRR XXV DST 1 closed, or gives the amount raised and a closing date.
Worry ifThe Nov. 5 report says the offer remains open, with no amount raised or closing date given.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$67 on $10,000 · ±0.7% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $555 loss on $10,000 · 5.5% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $3,270 loss on $10,000 · 32.7% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.