MEDALIST DIVERSIFIED REIT INC (MDRR)
NASDAQReal EstateReit - DiversifiedSnapshot 2026-09-04
$12.100.00%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQReal EstateReit - DiversifiedSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · MDRR
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -83.3% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 8.5% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
No outside relationship met the current evidence threshold.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 91.8 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Elevated risk of a next-quarter earnings miss: this name is a smaller-cap name (higher miss base rate) and has erratic recent earnings surprises. A fundamental tilt, not a price call.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 15 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
MDRR — M&A activity
Dated 2026-08-20
Termination of a Material Definitive Agreement As previously disclosed in the Current Report on Form 8-K filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission on July 22, 2026 by Medalist Diversified, Inc., a Maryland corporation (the “Company”), on July 21, 2026 the Company entered into (i) a Purchase and Sale Agreement (the “Denton Agreement”), with NPH Ventures, LLC a Delaware limited liability company (the “Seller”), whereby the Company agreed to acquire a property located at 8600 Highway 3…
Why it matters: Success in the DST platform could enhance growth and attract more investors.
Watch forThe company sees strong interest from investors or raises capital well through the DST platform.
Also watch forThe company has low interest from investors. It also has trouble raising money for DST offerings.
Why it matters: Steady dividend payments show good financial health. They also show care for shareholders.
Watch forThe company pays the declared dividend of $0.0675 per share on April 21, 2026.
Also watch forThe company suspends or reduces the dividend payment in the next quarter.
Why it matters: Recent property sales could change cash flow and leverage a lot. This shows how Medalist manages.
Worry ifFinancial reports show more cash and less debt after selling the properties.
Less concerning ifReports show more leverage or cash flow problems after the property sales.
Why it matters: The dividend amount shows how much the company cares about its shareholders. A change could affect how investors feel.
Watch forThe company pays a quarterly dividend of at least $0.0675 per share.
Also watch forThe company cuts the dividend below $0.0675 per share or suspends it.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$66 on $10,000 · ±0.7% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $461 loss on $10,000 · 4.6% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $2,737 loss on $10,000 · 27.4% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: The dividend shows the company cares about its shareholders. It also shows good financial health.
Supportive ifThe company confirms a dividend payment of $0.0675 per share for Q3 2026.
Worry ifThe company cancels or reduces the dividend payment for Q3 2026.
Why it matters: Keeping dividends builds trust with investors. It also shows the company is financially healthy.
Supportive ifThe company confirms it will keep paying dividends in the next earnings call.
Worry ifThe company says it will cut or stop dividend payments.
Why it matters: Selling properties can change cash flow and financial options. This impacts future growth chances.
Worry ifThe company shares news of more property sales that help cash flow a lot.
Less concerning ifThe company reports lower cash flow due to failed property sales or more debts.
Why it matters: This acquisition is important for growth. It shows management's focus on strategic buys.
Supportive ifA press release confirms the acquisition of Brookfield Center is complete.
Worry ifThe acquisition is delayed or canceled. This affects growth plans.
Why it matters: The dividend shows that management wants to give money back to shareholders. Consistency builds investor trust.
Supportive ifThe dividend is paid on time. This shows management's commitment to giving back money.
Worry ifThe dividend payment is late or canceled. This raises worries about financial health.
Why it matters: More acquisitions could signal growth and enhance portfolio value amid a tough market.
Supportive ifThe company announces another acquisition. This one matches its plans for growth.
Worry ifNo new acquisitions are announced, showing a lack of growth plans.
Why it matters: Finishing this acquisition shows Medalist is growing. It also adds more types of assets.
Supportive ifThe company has finished buying the Denton property. They announced this in a press release.
Worry ifThe acquisition is canceled or delayed past the expected date.
Why it matters: Changes in PPI can affect costs and pricing in the real estate sector. This could influence Medalist's margins.
Watch forPPI shows an increase that leads to higher rental rates or property values.
Also watch forPPI goes down, which leads to lower rental rates or property values.