Marygold Companies Inc/The (MGLD)
AMEXFinancialsAsset ManagementSnapshot 2026-09-04
$1.03-0.96%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
AMEXFinancialsAsset ManagementSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · MGLD
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits well below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -37.9% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | -3.0% |
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 34.9 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Model as of — · Company calendar date is not available
MGLD — earnings miss
Dated 2025-09-22
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On September 19, 2025, The Marygold Companies, Inc. issued a press release announcing its financial results for the fiscal year ended June 30, 2025. A copy of the press release is furnished as Exhibit 99.1 to this Current Report on Form 8-K and is incorporated herein by reference. Pursuant to the rules and regulations of the Securities and Exchange Commission, such exhibit and the information set forth therein and in this
Why it matters: A drop in sector growth could signal broader challenges. This may affect Marygold's growth prospects.
Worry ifSector revenue growth falls below its median of 15% year over year.
Less concerning ifSector revenue growth stays above its median of 15% year over year.
Why it matters: Revenue growth is a key driver for the financial sector. A drop signals weakening performance.
Worry ifQ1 2026 revenue growth falls below the median of the last three years.
Less concerning ifQ1 2026 revenue growth remains above the median of the last three years.
Why it matters: Better operating income shows improved cost management and efficiency. This is key for growth.
Supportive ifOperating income improves to a loss of less than $0.1 million in the next quarter.
Worry ifIf operating income gets worse, expect a loss over $0.2 million next quarter.
Why it matters: Less negative cash flow indicates better capital management. This is crucial for future growth.
Supportive ifCash flow from operations improves to less negative than -$0.5 million in Q3.
Worry ifCash flow from operations stays worse than -$1.0 million in Q3.
Why it matters: Completing the sale shows progress in focusing on core financial services. This could help profits.
Supportive ifLook for a completed sale of the New Zealand businesses in the next 12 months.
Worry ifNo progress or delays in the sale process beyond the 12-month target.
Why it matters: Better operating income shows improved cost control and financial health. This is key for long-term profits.
Supportive ifOperating income is improving. It is getting closer to breakeven.
Worry ifOperating income gets worse or stays negative.
Why it matters: A slowdown in revenue growth may show problems in the company's plans and market.
Worry ifQ2 revenue growth above 30% year over year.
Less concerning ifQ2 revenue growth below 30% year over year.
Why it matters: Negative cash flow shows financial problems and hurts future investments.
Worry ifCash from operations turns positive in Q2.
Less concerning ifCash from operations remains negative in Q2.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
No outside relationship met the current evidence threshold.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$198 on $10,000 · ±2.0% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $703 loss on $10,000 · 7.0% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $2,538 loss on $10,000 · 25.4% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.