Middleby (MIDD)
NASDAQIndustrialsIndustrial - MachinerySnapshot 2026-09-04
$111.75-0.58%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQIndustrialsIndustrial - MachinerySnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · MIDD
Price, fair value, and the multiples that frame it on the same time axis. Scroll over the price chart to zoom.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots inline.
A consensus fair price across 10 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-09-04. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
We take the 12-month fair value above and grade our own number — how the market prices this name versus what we'd justify, and where the two diverge.
At $112 MIDD trades at 12× p/e, below its 26× p/e peer median. Our $163 fair value sits well above the price. We hold it with medium confidence: the peer anchor overstates how cheap it looks. Analysts target $145–$205. Not investment advice.
One valuation read at a 12-month horizon, plus how price compares to peers and the company's own history.
Score 100 = cheapest in the cohort, 0 = richest. Bars are filled left-to-right based on the peer-relative score (or PEG/self-history where shown).
Each method's implied share price per horizon. Provisional rows use a projected (historical-CAGR) growth input rather than analyst or management guidance.
| Method | Horizon | Est. price | Multiple | Per-share input | EPS source | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| analyst target | 12M | $160.00 | — | — | Analyst | high |
| dcf fcff | 12M | $325.05 | — | — | Hist. CAGR | high |
| graham number | 12M | $100.99 | — | — | TTM | high |
| Peer EV/EBITDA | 12M | $267.20 | 16.9 | 15.63 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/FCF |
A “consensus-then vs. actual-now” overlay is on the way — what our valuation estimate said on a past date versus where the price actually landed.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Above average on quality vs scored peers
$145.00 – $205.00 (median $160.00) · 13 analysts · as of 2026-09-01
No fragility gates fired. Regime (Mania) does not concentrate fragility.
For similar setups historically (n=20,154): about 33% saw a 20%+ drawdown, and roughly 76% of those did not recover within the year. These are historical base rates for the cohort, not a forecast of this stock.
Looks cheaper than most peers in the same business.
Cheaper than its own typical valuation.
Trailing four: 2025-Q2, 2025-Q3, 2026-Q1, 2026-Q2
| 12M |
| $263.77 |
| 24.5 |
| 10.75 |
| TTM |
| high |
| Peer P/E | 12M | $152.47 | 20.4 | 7.47 | ntm analyst | high |
| Peer P/S | 12M | $231.71 | 2.9 | 81.06 | TTM | high |
| residual income | 12M | $68.49 | — | — | TTM | high |
| Own P/E history | 12M | $141.18 | 15.2 | 9.30 | TTM | high |
| triangulated | 12M | $249.96 | 25.6 | 9.76 | Triangulated | high |
| Peer P/FCF | 3Y | $401.15 | 24.5 | 16.34 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/E | 3Y | $116.39 | 20.4 | 5.70 | Analyst | medium |
| Peer P/S | 3Y | $73.36 | 2.9 | 25.66 | guidance | medium |
| Own P/E history | 3Y | $86.51 | 15.2 | 5.70 | Analyst | medium |
| Peer P/FCF | 5Y | $530.53 | 24.5 | 21.62 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | high |
| Peer P/E | 5Y | $54.06 | 20.4 | 2.65 | Analyst | high |
| Peer P/S | 5Y | $34.08 | 2.9 | 11.92 | guidance | high |
| Own P/E history | 5Y | $40.18 | 15.2 | 2.65 | Analyst | high |