MIND Technology Inc (MIND)
NASDAQInformation TechnologyHardware, Equipment & PartsSnapshot 2026-09-04
$4.57+3.39%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQInformation TechnologyHardware, Equipment & PartsSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · MIND
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -39.6% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 11.8% |
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 51.5 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Elevated risk of a next-quarter earnings miss: this name has been missing across recent quarters and is a smaller-cap name (higher miss base rate). A fundamental tilt, not a price call.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 41 industry peers
MIND — earnings miss
Dated 2026-06-10
The Company’s press release contains non-GAAP financial measures. Generally, a non-GAAP financial measure is a numerical measure of a company’s performance, financial position, or cash flows that either excludes or includes amounts that are not normally excluded or included in the most directly comparable measure calculated and presented in accordance with United States generally accepted accounting principles, or GAAP. Pursuant to the requirements of Regulation G, the Company has provided wi…
Why it matters: Improvement would show better cash management and health.
Supportive ifCash from operations was better than -$1.35 million. This shows positive cash flow.
Worry ifCash from operations worsens beyond -$1.35 million. This reflects cash flow issues.
Why it matters: A stable backlog shows better order visibility. It may lead to revenue growth.
Supportive ifBacklog is above $8 million. This shows customers are placing more orders.
Worry ifBacklog is below $7 million. This indicates a drop in customer demand.
Why it matters: Higher revenue shows growth and demand for MIND's products, boosting investor trust.
Supportive ifQ2 revenue exceeds $9.7 million.
Worry ifQ2 revenue falls below $9.7 million.
Why it matters: Earnings results will show if MIND is improving its financial performance. Investors will look closely at revenue and cash flow.
Watch forQ2 earnings report shows revenue growth above $10M and positive cash from operations.
Also watch forQ2 earnings report shows revenue below $9.8M and worsening cash flow.
Why it matters: Updates on backlog and order delivery will show if MIND is meeting its growth goals. This is key for future revenue.
Supportive ifManagement reports a backlog increase of over 10% in the next quarter.
Worry ifIf backlog goes down or there are delays in order delivery, pay attention.
Why it matters: A drop would show worse performance and cash flow problems.
Worry ifAdjusted EBITDA was less than $811,000. This shows problems with operations.
Less concerning ifAdjusted EBITDA was more than $811,000. This suggests operations are running better.
Why it matters: Backlog updates can show how much revenue might grow in the future.
Watch forManagement says the backlog has improved a lot.
Also watch forManagement says the backlog has not changed or has gotten worse.
Why it matters: A drop below this level would signal ongoing weakness in demand and backlog issues.
Worry ifQ2 revenue reported below $9.5 million.
Less concerning ifQ2 revenue reported above $9.5 million.
Why it matters: A drop in backlog means less customer demand. This could hurt future revenues.
Worry ifBacklog is below $7 million.
Less concerning ifBacklog is above $7 million.
Why it matters: Positive cash flow means better financial health. It also means better efficiency.
Supportive ifCash from operations will be positive in the next few quarters.
Worry ifCash from operations is still negative.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$250 on $10,000 · ±2.5% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $785 loss on $10,000 · 7.8% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $6,998 loss on $10,000 · 70.0% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.