Marsh McLennan (MRSH)
NYSEFinancialsInsurance - BrokersSnapshot 2026-09-04
$185.74-1.44%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NYSEFinancialsInsurance - BrokersSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · MRSH
Price, fair value, and the multiples that frame it on the same time axis. Scroll over the price chart to zoom.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots inline.
A consensus fair price across 12 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-09-04. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
We take the 12-month fair value above and grade our own number — how the market prices this name versus what we'd justify, and where the two diverge.
At $186 the market pays 18× p/e — above the 12× p/e peer median but in line with its own 18× history. That premium reflects a durable franchise our peer-anchored $184 fair value understates; treat the 'expensive vs peers' read with medium confidence. Analysts target $175–$234. Not investment advice.
One valuation read at a 12-month horizon, plus how price compares to peers and the company's own history.
Score 100 = cheapest in the cohort, 0 = richest. Bars are filled left-to-right based on the peer-relative score (or PEG/self-history where shown).
Each method's implied share price per horizon. Provisional rows use a projected (historical-CAGR) growth input rather than analyst or management guidance.
| Method | Horizon | Est. price | Multiple | Per-share input | EPS source | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| analyst target | 12M | $200.00 | — | — | Analyst | high |
| dcf fcfe | 12M | $358.30 | — | — | Hist. CAGR | high |
| dcf fcff | 12M | $379.54 | — | — | Hist. CAGR | high |
| graham number | 12M | $85.81 | — | — | TTM | high |
| Peer P/B | 12M |
A “consensus-then vs. actual-now” overlay is on the way — what our valuation estimate said on a past date versus where the price actually landed.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Below average on quality vs scored peers
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
$175.00 – $234.00 (median $200.00) · 13 analysts · as of 2026-08-25
Only weak execution quality — not the full expensive x weak x turbulent stack. Regime (Mania) does not concentrate fragility.
For similar setups historically (n=20,154): about 33% saw a 20%+ drawdown, and roughly 76% of those did not recover within the year. These are historical base rates for the cohort, not a forecast of this stock.
Looks more expensive than peers.
Self-history needs ~20 months of data.
Trailing four: 2025-Q2, 2025-Q3, 2026-Q1, 2026-Q2
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
| $42.92 |
| 1.3 |
| 32.02 |
| TTM |
| high |
| Peer P/FCF | 12M | $109.40 | 11.1 | 9.89 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/E | 12M | $123.72 | 11.2 | 11.10 | ntm analyst | high |
| Peer P/S | 12M | $166.85 | 2.9 | 57.98 | TTM | high |
| PEG | 12M | $167.43 | 16.4 | 10.22 | TTM | high |
| residual income | 12M | $62.01 | — | — | TTM | high |
| Own P/E history | 12M | $186.40 | 18.2 | 10.22 | TTM | high |
| triangulated | 12M | $129.09 | 12.4 | 10.41 | Triangulated | high |
| Peer P/B | 3Y | $54.57 | 1.3 | 40.71 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/FCF | 3Y | $166.39 | 11.1 | 15.04 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/E | 3Y | $139.61 | 11.2 | 12.52 | Analyst | medium |
| Peer P/S | 3Y | $196.58 | 2.9 | 68.31 | Analyst | medium |
| PEG | 3Y | $205.11 | 16.4 | 12.52 | Analyst | medium |
| Own P/E history | 3Y | $228.35 | 18.2 | 12.52 | Analyst | medium |
| Peer P/B | 5Y | $64.04 | 1.3 | 47.77 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | high |
| Peer P/FCF | 5Y | $220.05 | 11.1 | 19.89 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | high |
| Peer P/E | 5Y | $155.33 | 11.2 | 13.93 | Analyst | high |
| Peer P/S | 5Y | $218.71 | 2.9 | 76.00 | Analyst | high |
| PEG | 5Y | $228.20 | 16.4 | 13.93 | Analyst | high |
| Own P/E history | 5Y | $254.06 | 18.2 | 13.93 | Analyst | high |