Marvell Technology, Inc. (MRVL)
NASDAQInformation TechnologySemiconductorsSnapshot 2026-11-04
$159.80-7.08%
Close 2026-11-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQInformation TechnologySemiconductorsSnapshot 2026-11-04
Research Workspace
Put MRVL beside peers and holdings, graph the same metric, and keep your notes with the evidence.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Industries move in repeating boom-and-bust cycles. This shows where this stock’s industry sits in that cycle, stage by stage (recovery → expansion → supercycle → steady → deceleration → contraction), from its fundamentals (orders, revenue, capital spending), not the stock’s price.
A booming industry is a tailwind for the names in it; a contracting one is a headwind. Companies in the same industry tend to rise and fall together with the cycle, the way a tide lifts and lowers every boat in the harbor at once, so a large part of a stock’s swing can come from where its industry sits rather than from the company itself. It’s context for reading the company’s results, not a buy/sell call. Full explanation →
Semiconductors is in expansion. Describes the industry's cycle state, not a call on this stock.
The stage band shows the industry’s cycle over the chart’s timeline (each color a stage); a ▼ marks a quarter its growth inflected down — amber is an unconfirmed watch, red is confirmed the next quarter. Use “Overlay cycle on chart” to tint the price chart by stage. The industry’s fundamentals, not a signal on this stock.
The reason to own it still holds.
View ThesisMiddle-of-the-pack quality for its industry.
View QualityMiddle-of-the-pack management execution.
View ManagementExpectations look reasonable — what the market is pricing in sits in line with or below what analysts forecast.
View ValuationThis stock is highly volatile — it swings about 3% on a typical day and fell roughly 50% in its worst 12-month stretch.
View RiskMarvell's AI and data center growth must keep compounding to justify the price. Revenue grew 37% year over year in the latest quarter. The company also beat its earnings estimate by 44.6%. It trades at 54 times earnings versus a 50 times peer median. The price reflects less growth than our forecast. The stock fell 13% in a single session recently. This sharp drop may be repricing the thesis. Peer multiples imply a price roughly in line with where it trades (about fair). Our read remains intact. This read is provisional.
End-of-day figures as of 2026-11-04. EPS is implied from price ÷ P/E. Not investment advice.
Trailing returns as of 2026-11-04. MRVL is total return (includes dividends); the S&P 500 benchmark is price return (the index excludes dividends).
Based on 48 analysts currently covering MRVL (as of Nov 2026).
Based on 23 Wall Street analysts offering 12-month price targets for MRVL in the last 4 months.
Current $159.80
The last 12 months of price, then the range of analyst 12-month targets from today’s $159.80.
Analyst ratings and price targets are third-party Wall Street estimates, not QuarterlyIQ’s view. Not investment advice.
Continue this research
Compare MRVL with peers and holdings, graph the same reported metric, keep your questions beside the evidence, and return when the facts change.
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| Compare | Company | Living FV | P/E | Revenue % | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MRVL Selected company | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Peer Add a competitor | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Holding Compare a holding | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review |
Selected metric trend
Quarterly · checked companies · value or % of revenue
A consensus fair price across 10 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-11-04. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Top 25% on quality vs scored peers
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
A price-focused, side-by-side fair-value read versus Semiconductors — fair value, gap to price, and forward P/E.
Our valuation methods disagree too much on this name right now. Rather than print a number we don't believe, we're holding it back until they converge.
Compare the value case
Put MRVL next to peers and holdings, compare Living FV and multiples, then graph the driver behind the difference.
Threatens: Combine with Lumentum to lead AI connectivity
Significant deal value erosion signals execution or market risk.
Threatens: Combine with Lumentum to lead AI connectivity
Op-ed questioning strategic logic of Lumentum merger.
Threatens: Combine with Lumentum to lead AI connectivity
Highlights market concern over stock dilution from deal.
Threatens: Combine with Lumentum to lead AI connectivity
Wall Street skepticism regarding valuation and strategic fit.
Advances: Maintain disciplined capital allocation including dividends and debt issuance
Confirms strategic rationale for Lumentum acquisition.
Advances: Drive strong revenue growth with AI and data center focus
Highlights vertical integration benefits for AI data center.
Threatens: Combine with Lumentum to lead AI connectivity
Analyst downgrades and price target cuts signal market skepticism on deal value.
Potential optics acquisition could support data-center growth, but talks are unconfirmed.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.