Middlesex Water Company (MSEX)
NASDAQUtilitiesRegulated WaterSnapshot 2026-09-04
$58.26-0.38%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQUtilitiesRegulated WaterSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · MSEX
Price, fair value, and the multiples that frame it on the same time axis. Scroll over the price chart to zoom.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots inline.
A consensus fair price across 8 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-09-04. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
We take the 12-month fair value above and grade our own number — how the market prices this name versus what we'd justify, and where the two diverge.
At $58 MSEX trades at 2.1× p/b, in line with its 2.0× p/b peer median — but our blended $49 fair value sits below the price. It's a high-confidence read. Even valued only for durable growth at sustainable margins, it's worth about $61 — above today's price, so the premium reflects that growth case, not pure multiple expansion. Not investment advice.
One valuation read at a 12-month horizon, plus how price compares to peers and the company's own history.
Score 100 = cheapest in the cohort, 0 = richest. Bars are filled left-to-right based on the peer-relative score (or PEG/self-history where shown).
Each method's implied share price per horizon. Provisional rows use a projected (historical-CAGR) growth input rather than analyst or management guidance.
| Method | Horizon | Est. price | Multiple | Per-share input | EPS source | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ddm gordon | 12M | $16.44 | — | — | TTM | high |
| graham number | 12M | $40.26 | — | — | TTM | high |
| Peer P/B | 12M | $54.44 | 2.0 | 27.81 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/E | 12M | $59.71 | 23.1 | 2.59 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/S | 12M |
A “consensus-then vs. actual-now” overlay is on the way — what our valuation estimate said on a past date versus where the price actually landed.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Above average on quality vs scored peers
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
Only weak execution quality, a turbulent sector regime (Heating) — not the full expensive x weak x turbulent stack.
For similar setups historically (n=20,154): about 33% saw a 20%+ drawdown, and roughly 76% of those did not recover within the year. These are historical base rates for the cohort, not a forecast of this stock.
Roughly priced in line with peers.
Around its own typical valuation.
Trailing four: 2025-Q2, 2025-Q3, 2026-Q1, 2026-Q2
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
| $32.02 |
| 2.9 |
| 11.00 |
| TTM |
| high |
| residual income | 12M | $29.43 | — | — | TTM | high |
| Own P/E history | 12M | $59.36 | 22.9 | 2.59 | TTM | high |
| triangulated | 12M | $59.82 | 23.1 | 2.59 | Triangulated | high |
| Peer P/B | 3Y | $68.94 | 2.0 | 35.22 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/E | 3Y | $72.10 | 23.1 | 3.13 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/S | 3Y | $40.37 | 2.9 | 13.87 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |
| Own P/E history | 3Y | $71.68 | 22.9 | 3.13 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/B | 5Y | $80.69 | 2.0 | 41.23 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | high |
| Peer P/E | 5Y | $82.82 | 23.1 | 3.59 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | high |
| Peer P/S | 5Y | $46.37 | 2.9 | 15.94 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | high |
| Own P/E history | 5Y | $82.33 | 22.9 | 3.59 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | high |