M&T Bank (MTB)
NYSEFinancialsBanks - RegionalSnapshot 2026-09-04
$239.84-0.09%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NYSEFinancialsBanks - RegionalSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · MTB
Price, fair value, and the multiples that frame it on the same time axis. Scroll over the price chart to zoom.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots inline.
A consensus fair price across 13 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-09-04. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
We take the 12-month fair value above and grade our own number — how the market prices this name versus what we'd justify, and where the two diverge.
At $240 MTB trades at 1.3× p/b, in line with its 1.2× p/b peer median, and our $253 fair value agrees. It's a high-confidence read. Analysts target $215–$300. Not investment advice.
One valuation read at a 12-month horizon, plus how price compares to peers and the company's own history.
Score 100 = cheapest in the cohort, 0 = richest. Bars are filled left-to-right based on the peer-relative score (or PEG/self-history where shown).
Each method's implied share price per horizon. Provisional rows use a projected (historical-CAGR) growth input rather than analyst or management guidance.
| Method | Horizon | Est. price | Multiple | Per-share input | EPS source | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| analyst target | 12M | $255.00 | — | — | Analyst | high |
| dcf fcfe | 12M | $722.70 | — | — | Hist. CAGR | high |
| dcf fcff | 12M | $448.73 | — | — | Hist. CAGR | high |
| ddm gordon | 12M | $68.10 | — | — | TTM | high |
| graham number | 12M |
A “consensus-then vs. actual-now” overlay is on the way — what our valuation estimate said on a past date versus where the price actually landed.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Above average on quality vs scored peers
A second lens on the 12-month fair value: for companies that score high on measured quality (profitability, balance-sheet safety, earnings stability), this read trusts more of today's profit margins instead of averaging them toward their multi-year history the way the headline number does. Shown alongside the fair value above, not in place of it. A diagnostic, not a price target or a buy/sell signal.
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
$215.00 – $300.00 (median $255.00) · 17 analysts · as of 2026-08-19
No fragility gates fired. Regime (Mania) does not concentrate fragility.
For similar setups historically (n=20,154): about 33% saw a 20%+ drawdown, and roughly 76% of those did not recover within the year. These are historical base rates for the cohort, not a forecast of this stock.
Roughly priced in line with peers.
Self-history needs ~20 months of data.
Trailing four: 2025-Q2, 2025-Q3, 2026-Q1, 2026-Q2
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
| $285.09 |
| — |
| — |
| TTM |
| high |
| Peer P/B | 12M | $236.18 | 1.2 | 190.42 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/FCF | 12M | $284.64 | 11.7 | 24.39 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/E | 12M | $223.46 | 10.9 | 20.51 | ntm analyst | high |
| Peer P/S | 12M | $36.67 | 3.2 | 11.60 | TTM | high |
| PEG | 12M | $297.17 | 15.7 | 18.97 | TTM | high |
| residual income | 12M | $198.03 | — | — | TTM | high |
| Own P/E history | 12M | $239.75 | 12.6 | 18.97 | TTM | high |
| triangulated | 12M | $231.51 | 11.9 | 19.38 | Triangulated | high |
| Peer P/B | 3Y | $255.81 | 1.2 | 206.25 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/FCF | 3Y | $287.24 | 11.7 | 24.62 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/E | 3Y | $79.86 | 10.9 | 7.33 | Analyst | medium |
| PEG | 3Y | $377.05 | 15.7 | 24.07 | Analyst | medium |
| Own P/E history | 3Y | $304.20 | 12.6 | 24.07 | Analyst | medium |
| Peer P/B | 5Y | $269.80 | 1.2 | 217.53 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | high |
| Peer P/FCF | 5Y | $288.98 | 11.7 | 24.77 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | high |
| Peer P/E | 5Y | $28.54 | 10.9 | 2.62 | Analyst | high |
| PEG | 5Y | $441.91 | 15.7 | 28.21 | Analyst | high |
| Own P/E history | 5Y | $356.53 | 12.6 | 28.21 | Analyst | high |