Solv Energy Inc (MWH)
NASDAQUtilitiesRenewable UtilitiesSnapshot 2026-09-04
$25.27+2.39%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQUtilitiesRenewable UtilitiesSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · MWH
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 68.6% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | Not available |
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 131 days
Usually moved in the opposite direction.
Price observations: 130 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market and real (inflation-adjusted) rates.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
A comparable growth gap is not available.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Worth watching into the next print: this name has been missing across recent quarters and operates in a high-miss-rate industry. A fundamental tilt, not a price call.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 5 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
MWH — earnings miss
Dated 2026-05-12
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On May 12, 2026, SOLV Energy, Inc. (the “Company”) issued a press release announcing its financial results for the quarter ended March 31, 2026. A copy of the press release is furnished as Exhibit 99.1 to this Current Report on Form 8-K. The information furnished with this Item 2.02, including Exhibit 99.1, shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (the “Exchange Act”), or otherwise…
Why it matters: Management wants to keep adjusted gross margin around 16.4%-17.0%. This shows good cost control.
Supportive ifAdjusted gross margin for Q3 2026 is reported at 16.4% or higher.
Worry ifAdjusted gross margin falls below 15.5%. This shows ongoing pressure on margins.
Why it matters: If it drops below this level, it shows margin problems. This will hurt profits.
Worry ifAdjusted gross margin for Q3 falls below 16.0%.
Less concerning ifAdjusted gross margin for Q3 stays above 16.6%.
Why it matters: A smaller net loss shows better financial health and improvements.
Supportive ifNet loss decreases from $(27) million in Q1.
Worry ifNet loss increases or stays the same in Q2.
Why it matters: Falling below this level may show problems with operations or higher costs.
Worry ifQ3 adjusted EBITDA is less than $120 million.
Less concerning ifQ3 adjusted EBITDA is more than $130 million.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$257 on $10,000 · ±2.6% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $674 loss on $10,000 · 6.7% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $4,821 loss on $10,000 · 48.2% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: Closing this deal will increase service options and growth chances.
Supportive ifThe acquisition closes by the end of Q3 2026 as planned.
Worry ifThe acquisition is delayed beyond Q3 2026.
Why it matters: Management raised revenue guidance to $3.87B-$3.97B. This shows strong demand and good execution.
Supportive ifQ3 2026 revenue is over $1.1 billion. This supports the updated guidance.
Worry ifQ3 2026 revenue falls below $1 billion, raising doubts about guidance.
Why it matters: Hitting this EBITDA range shows better profits and efficiency. It boosts investor confidence.
Supportive ifAdjusted EBITDA for 2026 meets or exceeds the range of $485M to $505M.
Worry ifAdjusted EBITDA is under $485M. This shows there are operational problems.
Why it matters: Meeting this target would show strong growth momentum and support the full-year guidance.
Supportive ifQ2 revenue reported at or above $1.0 billion.
Worry ifQ2 revenue falls below $900 million.
Why it matters: If revenue growth is below this level, it may mean demand is slowing. It could also mean there are problems with execution.
Worry ifQ3 revenue growth prints below 70% year over year.
Less concerning ifQ3 revenue growth exceeds 70% year over year.