Mexco Energy Corp (MXC)
AMEXEnergyOil & Gas Exploration & ProductionSnapshot 2026-09-04
$11.02+3.77%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
AMEXEnergyOil & Gas Exploration & ProductionSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · MXC
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 13.3% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | -14.9% |
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 28.1 percentage points more one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Model as of — · Company calendar date is not available
MXC — dividend update
Dated 2026-06-04
Other Events. On June 4, 2026, Mexco Energy Corporation issued a news release to announce that its board of directors declared a regular annual cash dividend of $0.10 per share payable on June 30, 2026 to stockholders of record on June 15, 2026. Attached as Exhibit 99.1 is a copy of the press release relating to the announcement, which is incorporated herein by reference.
Why it matters: Operating income trends show how well Mexco manages costs and revenues. A stable trend means better performance.
Supportive ifOperating income stays above $91,473 in the next quarter.
Worry ifOperating income falls below $91,473 in the next quarter.
Why it matters: Future dividends show the company's financial health. They also show management's promise to share value.
Supportive ifThe company will announce a new dividend after the June 30 payment.
Worry ifNo dividend is declared in the next cycle.
Why it matters: Higher net income means better financial health. It shows success in operations.
Supportive ifNet income for Q3 exceeds $501,065, the amount reported for Q2.
Worry ifNet income for Q3 falls below $500,000.
Why it matters: Earnings results will show if the company can improve its income performance.
Watch forNet income is better than last quarter.
Also watch forNet income is worse than last quarter.
Why it matters: A steady dividend shows financial health and a promise to give value to shareholders. It shows good cash flow.
Supportive ifThe company declares another dividend of at least $0.10 per share.
Worry ifNo dividend is given. This shows possible cash flow problems.
Why it matters: Successful drilling shows growth potential. It matches management's plan and is key for future income.
Supportive ifThe company is drilling 53 horizontal wells as planned.
Worry ifCompany does not drill the planned 53 horizontal wells.
Why it matters: A fall in net income may show worse financial results and operational issues.
Worry ifNet income falls below $500,000 in the next quarter.
Less concerning ifNet income remains above $500,000 or increases.
Why it matters: If oil production goes down, it may show problems and hurt revenue.
Worry ifQ3 oil production decreases year over year worse than the 15% drop reported in Q1.
Less concerning ifIn Q3, oil production stays the same or goes up compared to last year.
Why it matters: A change in the dividend may show changes in cash flow or management focus.
Watch forThe Board declares a dividend increase above $0.10 per share.
Also watch forThe Board suspends or reduces the dividend below $0.10 per share.
Why it matters: Lower oil prices could hurt revenues and profits. It tests how strong the company is in a changing market.
Worry ifAverage realized oil prices fall below $60 per barrel.
Less concerning ifOil prices stay above $60 per barrel. This helps revenue.
Why it matters: Higher net income growth means better financial performance. It also shows more efficiency.
Supportive ifQ2 net income grows more than 20% year over year.
Worry ifQ2 net income growth is less than or equal to 20% year over year.
Why it matters: Progress on drilling is key to growth. Delays could impact future revenue.
Supportive ifThey announced the completion of one of the 50 planned horizontal wells.
Worry ifNo updates or delays in the drilling schedule.
Why it matters: Completing these wells is key to meeting management's growth targets and boosting revenue.
Supportive ifThe company completes all 20 horizontal wells as planned by the end of fiscal 2027.
Worry ifThe company completes fewer than 15 horizontal wells by the end of fiscal 2027.
Why it matters: A dividend declaration shows strong cash flow. It also shows a commitment to shareholders.
Supportive ifThe company declares a dividend of at least $0.10 per share for fiscal 2027.
Worry ifThe company does not declare a dividend for fiscal 2027.
Why it matters: Stable or rising oil production is key for making more money and staying healthy.
Supportive ifOil production levels stay the same or rise compared to last year.
Worry ifOil production continues to decline year over year.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
No outside relationship met the current evidence threshold.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$169 on $10,000 · ±1.7% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $571 loss on $10,000 · 5.7% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $5,191 loss on $10,000 · 51.9% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.