Playstudios, Inc. (MYPS)
NASDAQCommunication ServicesElectronic Gaming & MultimediaSnapshot 2026-09-04
NASDAQCommunication ServicesElectronic Gaming & MultimediaSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · MYPS
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits well below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -70.1% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | -4.6% |
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 65.5 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Elevated risk of a next-quarter earnings miss: this name operates in a high-miss-rate industry and is a smaller-cap name (higher miss base rate). A fundamental tilt, not a price call.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 7 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
MYPS — legal / regulatory event
Dated 2026-05-05
Notice of Delisting or Failure to Satisfy a Continued Listing Rule or Standard; Transfer of Listing As previously reported in a Current Report on Form 8‑K filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission (the “Commission”) on November 10, 2025, on November 5, 2025, PLAYSTUDIOS, Inc., a Delaware corporation (the “Company”), received a notice from the Listing Qualifications Department of The Nasdaq Stock Market LLC (“Nasdaq”) stating that the Company was not in compliance with Nasdaq Listing R…
Why it matters: If integration works, it could make products more attractive. This may boost revenue.
Supportive ifPOP! Slots sweepstakes integration launches on schedule in late Q2 2026.
Worry ifIntegration delays push the launch past the targeted late Q2 2026 date.
Why it matters: If revenue stabilizes or grows, it shows progress in fixing old problems.
Supportive ifQ2 revenue was over $58.4 million. This shows stabilization or growth.
Worry ifQ2 revenue was below $58.4 million. This shows a continued decline.
Why it matters: Positive revenue growth would signal a turnaround in the declining sector. It may boost investor confidence.
Supportive ifPlaystudios reports positive revenue growth in its next earnings report.
Worry ifPlaystudios keeps showing lower revenue.
Why it matters: Making more money is key for the company's growth and stability.
Supportive ifQ2 net income shows a smaller loss than -$10.7M reported in Q1.
Worry ifQ2 net income loss worsens beyond -$10.7M.
Why it matters: A lower net loss margin shows better cost control and steps toward making money.
Supportive ifNet loss margin improves to below -15% in the next quarter.
Worry ifNet loss margin worsens beyond -20% in the next quarter.
Why it matters: A slowdown in this growth could signal challenges in the core business and affect overall revenue.
Worry ifDirect-to-consumer revenue growth was below 100% year over year. This shows possible issues.
Less concerning ifDirect-to-consumer revenue growth is above 100% year over year. This shows strong results.
Why it matters: Stabilizing revenue is crucial for Playstudios. It shows the company can maintain its market position.
Supportive ifRevenue remains above $58M for two consecutive quarters.
Worry ifRevenue drops below $55M for two consecutive quarters.
Why it matters: Cutting operating costs is important for better financial health. Updates will show if progress is made.
Supportive ifManagement shares the number of layoffs or cost-saving steps taken.
Worry ifNo news on workforce cuts or an announcement of more employees.
Why it matters: Going over this amount shows good cost management. It means better efficiency.
Supportive ifAnnual savings from Renewal were above $39 million. This shows effective cost cutting.
Worry ifAnnual savings from Renewal were below $33 million. This shows cost management problems.
Why it matters: The company received a notice of delisting. Compliance updates will show if it can remain listed.
Worry ifCompany says it has met Nasdaq listing rules again.
Less concerning ifThe company receives more notices about being taken off the stock exchange.
Why it matters: More cost savings would help profits and cash flow. These are key goals for management.
Supportive ifAnnual cost savings from Renewal are over $33 million by Q3 2026.
Worry ifAnnualized cost savings from Renewal fall below $33 million by Q3 2026.
Why it matters: Cutting costs is very important. Doing this well can help the company's finances.
Supportive ifAn official announcement will confirm a big job cut of at least 10%.
Worry ifNo announcements of workforce reductions or an increase in employee count.
Why it matters: High user acquisition costs may mean poor spending. This could hurt future profits.
Worry ifUser acquisition costs are over $10 million in Q2 2026.
Less concerning ifUser acquisition expense stays below $10 million in Q2 2026.
Why it matters: A big drop would show problems with the old portfolio and growth plans.
Worry ifQ3 revenue falls below $49.5 million, which is a 10% decline from Q3 2025.
Less concerning ifQ3 revenue stabilizes or grows compared to Q3 2025.
Why it matters: A drop would show that user engagement is getting weaker. This affects future revenue.
Worry ifTetris Block Party DAU drops below 120,000. This shows less user interest.
Less concerning ifTetris Block Party DAU stays above 135,000. This shows user engagement is stable.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
No outside relationship met the current evidence threshold.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$298 on $10,000 · ±3.0% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $797 loss on $10,000 · 8.0% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $6,159 loss on $10,000 · 61.6% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.