Natural Alternatives International Inc (NAII)
NASDAQConsumer StaplesPackaged FoodsSnapshot 2026-11-04
$1.10+3.77%
Close 2026-11-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQConsumer StaplesPackaged FoodsSnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · NAII
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits well below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -89.3% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | -1.6% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
No outside relationship met the current evidence threshold.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 87.7 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Worth watching into the next print: this name is a smaller-cap name (higher miss base rate) and has been missing across recent quarters. A fundamental tilt, not a price call.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 11 industry peers
NAII — CFO transition
Dated 2026-05-01
CFO — Michael E. Fortin: Michael E. Fortin resigned as CFO to take a new role at another company.
Why it matters: Cash from operations rose to $2.50 million in Q3 from negative $6.33 million in Q2. Staying positive would show this progress is lasting.
Supportive ifThe next report shows cash from operations above $0 for the quarter.
Worry ifThe next report shows cash from operations below $0 for the quarter.
Why it matters: The net loss grew from $2.55 million in Q2 to $4.31 million in Q3. A smaller loss would mark progress toward profit.
Supportive ifThe next report shows a net loss below $4.31 million.
Worry ifThe next report shows a net loss of $4.31 million or more.
Why it matters: Gross profit fell from $2.49 million in Q2 to $0.38 million in Q3. A recovery would show better results before other costs.
Supportive ifThe next report shows gross profit above $0.38 million.
Worry ifThe next report shows gross profit at or below $0.38 million.
Why it matters: The sector notes point to renewed revenue growth as a sign of change. NAII's own growth data is not included here, so check its next report.
Watch forNAII reports faster year-over-year revenue growth than in its prior reported period.
Also watch forNAII reports slower year-over-year revenue growth than in its prior reported period.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$191 on $10,000 · ±1.9% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $592 loss on $10,000 · 5.9% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $7,805 loss on $10,000 · 78.0% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.