Nebius Group N.V. (NBIS)
NASDAQCommunication ServicesSoftware - InfrastructureSnapshot 2026-09-04
$226.39+7.48%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQCommunication ServicesSoftware - InfrastructureSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · NBIS
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
No current thesis-health read is available for this company.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -9.4% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | Not available |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
A comparable growth gap is not available.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 68 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
Why it matters: If Nebius Group grows its revenue, it may show a turnaround in a tough market.
Supportive ifQ2 revenue growth reported as positive compared to the previous year.
Worry ifQ2 revenue continues to decline year over year.
Why it matters: If revenue growth falls below its median, it may signal a change in the sector's growth phase.
Worry ifReported revenue growth drops below the median growth rate for the sector.
Less concerning ifRevenue growth remains above the median growth rate for the sector.
Why it matters: PPI data can change how people think about inflation. It can also affect market mood.
Watch forPPI data shows a big rise. This means costs are going up.
Also watch forPPI data shows a big drop. This means costs are going down.
Why it matters: CPI data can change how people think about inflation. It can also affect investor mood.
Watch forCPI data shows a big rise. This means inflation is going up.
Also watch forCPI data shows a big drop. This means inflation is going down.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$425 on $10,000 · ±4.3% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $988 loss on $10,000 · 9.9% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $4,830 loss on $10,000 · 48.3% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.