Neonode, Inc. (NEON)
NASDAQInformation TechnologyHardware, Equipment & PartsSnapshot 2026-09-04
$0.92+2.45%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQInformation TechnologyHardware, Equipment & PartsSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · NEON
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -42.6% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 81.7% |
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 124.3 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 40 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
NEON — earnings miss
Dated 2026-08-12
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On August 12, 2026, Neonode Inc. (the “Company”) reported its earnings for the three and six months ended June 30, 2026 (the “Earnings Release”). A copy of the Earnings Release is attached hereto as Exhibit 99.1 and is incorporated herein by reference. The information furnished pursuant to this Item 2.02, including Exhibit 99.1, shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (the “Exchang…
Why it matters: New deals can increase revenue. They also show that Neonode's technology works in new markets.
Supportive ifLook for at least two new licensing deals in the automotive or retail sectors.
Worry ifNo new licensing agreements announced in the next quarter.
Why it matters: A drop could signal challenges for Neonode's growth in a slowing sector.
Worry ifSector revenue growth is below its median for two months in a row.
Less concerning ifSector revenue growth remains above its median for the same period.
Why it matters: Updates will clarify if Neonode can drive growth as planned.
Supportive ifManagement has a new partnership or contract. This will boost MultiSensing revenue.
Worry ifNo updates or bad news about MultiSensing growth for two quarters in a row.
Why it matters: Declining demand in zForce could hurt overall revenue. Monitoring this helps gauge future performance.
Worry ifzForce revenue declines more than 15% year over year in Q2.
Less concerning ifzForce revenue remains stable or grows in Q2.
Why it matters: New licensing deals would support management's plan. They would also help revenue growth.
Supportive ifAt least two new licensing deals for MultiSensing are announced.
Worry ifNo new licensing agreements announced in the next quarter.
Why it matters: If costs rise faster, it could mean financial problems and issues with operations.
Worry ifOperating expenses grow more than 15% while revenue grows less than 10%.
Less concerning ifOperating expenses grow less than 5% while revenue grows more than 15%.
Why it matters: If the sector grows faster, it could help Neonode's growth outlook and market position.
Supportive ifSector revenue growth speeds up to more than 6% each year.
Worry ifSector revenue growth slows below 2% year over year.
Why it matters: Cash usage trends show financial health. High cash use may signal deeper issues.
Worry ifQ2 cash used by operations exceeds $2.5 million.
Less concerning ifCash used by operations is less than $2 million.
Why it matters: Recovering the stock price above $1.00 would help Neonode avoid delisting from Nasdaq.
Supportive ifStock price closes above $1.00 for 30 consecutive business days.
Worry ifThe stock price stays below $1.00 for 30 straight business days.
Why it matters: The earnings report will show if Neonode can improve its financial situation. Investors will look for signs of recovery.
Watch forEarnings show a smaller loss than last quarter. This means things are getting better.
Also watch forEarnings report shows a larger loss than the previous quarter, signaling ongoing struggles.
Why it matters: Strong revenue growth would show the good trend from Q1. It would help management's focus on MultiSensing.
Supportive ifQ2 revenue growth exceeds 20% compared to Q1 2026.
Worry ifQ2 revenue growth is below 15% compared to Q1 2026.
Why it matters: New priorities could signal a shift in how Neonode plans to address its challenges. This can impact future performance.
Watch forManagement shares a new plan focused on making more money or growing.
Also watch forManagement sticks to the same plan. There are no changes or improvements.
Why it matters: Earnings results will show if the positive trend continues after the recent earnings beat.
Watch forQ2 earnings beat expectations by more than 15%.
Also watch forQ2 earnings miss expectations by more than 10%.
Why it matters: Growth in MultiSensing revenue shows that people want Neonode's technology. This is important for making more money.
Supportive ifMultiSensing license revenue grows more than 20% year over year in Q3 2026.
Worry ifMultiSensing license revenue growth is less than 5% year over year in Q3 2026.
Why it matters: Stabilizing total revenue means progress in turning partnerships into sales. This is key for growth.
Supportive ifTotal revenue remains above $0.5 million in Q3 2026.
Worry ifTotal revenue falls below $0.5 million in Q3 2026.
Why it matters: Fixing the delisting notice is key. It helps keep investor trust and stock trading going.
Supportive ifNeonode's stock price closes above $1.00 for 30 consecutive days.
Worry ifNeonode fails to regain compliance with Nasdaq listing standards.
Why it matters: Updates on car partnerships can show future revenue growth. This is important for Neonode's plan.
Watch forA new car partnership or agreement may be announced in Q3 2026.
Also watch forThere are no updates on car partnerships or agreements in Q3 2026.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
No outside relationship met the current evidence threshold.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$351 on $10,000 · ±3.5% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $790 loss on $10,000 · 7.9% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $8,529 loss on $10,000 · 85.3% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.