NewMarket Corporation (NEU)
NYSEMaterialsChemicals - SpecialtySnapshot 2026-11-04
$725.11-3.28%
Close 2026-11-04 · 1-day change
NYSEMaterialsChemicals - SpecialtySnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · NEU
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -3.8% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 1.4% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 5.2 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 26 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
NEU — dividend update
Dated 2026-10-29
Other Events. On October 29, 2026, NewMarket Corporation (the “Company”) issued a press release reporting that the Company’s Board of Directors had approved raising the quarterly dividend approximately 8% from $3.00 per share on the common stock of the Company to $3.25 per share. The quarterly dividend is equivalent to an annual dividend of $13.00 per share, up from $12.00 per share. Future dividends are subject to quarterly determination and declaration by the Board of Directors. The current…
Why it matters: Shipments fell 6% in the first nine months, and Q3 shipments fell 8%. Further falls could weigh on segment results.
Worry ifIn the next quarterly report, petroleum additives shipments are down more than 6% from a year earlier.
Less concerning ifIn the next quarterly report, petroleum additives shipments are flat or grow year over year.
Why it matters: The board raised the quarterly dividend by about 8%. The next decision will show whether that higher payout is kept.
Supportive ifThe board declares a quarterly dividend of at least $3.25 per share at its next dividend decision.
Worry ifThe board declares a quarterly dividend below $3.25 per share, or skips a payment.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$79 on $10,000 · ±0.8% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $288 loss on $10,000 · 2.9% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $2,539 loss on $10,000 · 25.4% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.