Reading NFG? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
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Track NFG free→QuarterlyIQ Insights · NFG
Price, valuation, and the composite score on the same time axis. Scroll over the price chart to zoom.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots inline.
A consensus fair price across 8 valuation methods, at three horizons. Current price $77.55. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
No-growth: today's peer multiple on trailing earnings. The headline read.
Embeds projected growth. Leans optimistic by design. Upside context.
Each method's implied share price per horizon. Provisional rows use a projected (historical-CAGR) growth input rather than analyst or management guidance.
| Method | Horizon | Est. price | Multiple | Per-share input | EPS source | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mgmt guidance | 12M | $145.46 | 19.1 | 7.60 | Mgmt | high |
| Peer EV/EBITDA | 12M | $169.87 | 12.0 | 16.33 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/FCF | 12M | $142.06 | 42.2 | 3.36 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/E | 12M | $143.74 | 19.1 | 7.51 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/S |
Monthly trailing P/E with quartile reference lines.
A “consensus-then vs. actual-now” overlay is on the way — what our valuation estimate said on a past date versus where the price actually landed.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Long-thesis check; widest uncertainty.
| 12M |
| $79.46 |
| 2.6 |
| 30.59 |
| TTM |
| high |
| PEG | 12M | $94.71 | 12.6 | 7.51 | TTM | high |
| Own P/E history | 12M | $85.17 | 11.3 | 7.51 | TTM | high |
| triangulated | 12M | $153.07 | 19.1 | 8.00 | Triangulated | high |
| Mgmt guidance | 3Y | $165.73 | 19.1 | 8.66 | Mgmt(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/FCF | 3Y | $226.11 | 42.2 | 5.35 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/E | 3Y | $163.77 | 19.1 | 8.56 | Analyst | medium |
| Peer P/S | 3Y | $97.35 | 2.6 | 37.48 | Analyst | medium |
| PEG | 3Y | $107.91 | 12.6 | 8.56 | Analyst | medium |
| Own P/E history | 3Y | $97.04 | 11.3 | 8.56 | Analyst | medium |
| Mgmt guidance | 5Y | $180.79 | 19.1 | 9.45 | Mgmt(prov.) | high |
| Peer P/FCF | 5Y | $308.24 | 42.2 | 7.30 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | high |
| Peer P/E | 5Y | $178.65 | 19.1 | 9.33 | Analyst | high |
| Peer P/S | 5Y | $111.46 | 2.6 | 42.91 | Analyst | high |
| PEG | 5Y | $117.71 | 12.6 | 9.33 | Analyst | high |
| Own P/E history | 5Y | $105.86 | 11.3 | 9.33 | Analyst | high |