National Healthcare, Corp. (NHC)
NYSE MKTHealth CareMedical - Care FacilitiesSnapshot 2026-09-04
$218.64-1.35%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NYSE MKTHealth CareMedical - Care FacilitiesSnapshot 2026-09-04
Research Workspace
Put NHC beside peers and holdings, graph the same metric, and keep your notes with the evidence.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Industries move in repeating boom-and-bust cycles. This shows where this stock’s industry sits in that cycle, stage by stage (recovery → expansion → supercycle → steady → deceleration → contraction), from its fundamentals (orders, revenue, capital spending), not the stock’s price.
A booming industry is a tailwind for the names in it; a contracting one is a headwind. Companies in the same industry tend to rise and fall together with the cycle, the way a tide lifts and lowers every boat in the harbor at once, so a large part of a stock’s swing can come from where its industry sits rather than from the company itself. It’s context for reading the company’s results, not a buy/sell call. Full explanation →
Health Care is in expansion. Describes the industry's cycle state, not a call on this stock.
The stage band shows the industry’s cycle over the chart’s timeline (each color a stage); a ▼ marks a quarter its growth inflected down — amber is an unconfirmed watch, red is confirmed the next quarter. Use “Overlay cycle on chart” to tint the price chart by stage. The industry’s fundamentals, not a signal on this stock.
Management is running behind on a stated commitment.
View ThesisRevenue growth is slowing — up about 7% over the past year and decelerating.
View GrowthRanks among the strongest in its industry on quality — around the top 23%.
View QualityManagement screens strong on margins, market reaction to earnings.
View ManagementExpectations look high — the market is pricing in about 36% growth a year, above the roughly 5% analysts expect, leaving little room for error.
View ValuationModerate volatility — typically moves about 1% a day.
View RiskNHC's growth relies on maintaining strong financial performance amid market challenges. Revenue grew 2.2% year over year, and recent performance remains in the top half of its industry. It trades at 28× P/E versus a peer median of 23×, indicating the market prices in more growth than is justified. Management is currently behind on commitments, which poses a risk to the thesis. Peer multiples imply a price about 36% below where it trades (it looks expensive on this basis). This read is provisional.
Trailing returns as of 2026-09-04. NHC is total return (includes dividends); the S&P 500 benchmark is price return (the index excludes dividends).
Continue this research
Compare NHC with peers and holdings, graph the same reported metric, keep your questions beside the evidence, and return when the facts change.
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| Compare | Company | Living FV | P/E | Revenue % | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NHC Selected company | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Peer Add a competitor | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Holding Compare a holding | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review |
Selected metric trend
Quarterly · checked companies · value or % of revenue
A consensus fair price across 11 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-09-04. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
A price-focused, side-by-side fair-value read versus Health Care Facilities — fair value, gap to price, and forward P/E.
Compare the value case
Put NHC next to peers and holdings, compare Living FV and multiples, then graph the driver behind the difference.
Advances: Expand M&A activity in skilled nursing facilities
Acquisition aligns with M&A growth strategy.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
End-of-day figures as of 2026-09-04. EPS is implied from price ÷ P/E. Not investment advice.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Above average on quality vs scored peers
A second lens on the 12-month fair value: for companies that score high on measured quality (profitability, balance-sheet safety, earnings stability), this read trusts more of today's profit margins instead of averaging them toward their multi-year history the way the headline number does. Shown alongside the fair value above, not in place of it. A diagnostic, not a price target or a buy/sell signal.
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.