National Bankshares, Inc. (NKSH)
NASDAQFinancialsBanks - RegionalSnapshot 2026-09-04
$42.07+0.55%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQFinancialsBanks - RegionalSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · NKSH
Price, fair value, and the multiples that frame it on the same time axis. Scroll over the price chart to zoom.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots inline.
A consensus fair price across 11 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-09-04. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
We take the 12-month fair value above and grade our own number — how the market prices this name versus what we'd justify, and where the two diverge.
At $42 NKSH trades at 1.4× p/b, in line with its 1.2× p/b peer median — but our blended $35 fair value sits below the price. It's a high-confidence read. Even valued only for durable growth at sustainable margins, it's worth about $46 — above today's price, so the premium reflects that growth case, not pure multiple expansion. Not investment advice.
One valuation read at a 12-month horizon, plus how price compares to peers and the company's own history.
Score 100 = cheapest in the cohort, 0 = richest. Bars are filled left-to-right based on the peer-relative score (or PEG/self-history where shown).
Each method's implied share price per horizon. Provisional rows use a projected (historical-CAGR) growth input rather than analyst or management guidance.
| Method | Horizon | Est. price | Multiple | Per-share input | EPS source | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| dcf fcfe | 12M | $25.05 | — | — | Hist. CAGR | high |
| dcf fcff | 12M | $26.44 | — | — | Hist. CAGR | high |
| ddm gordon | 12M | $9.58 | — | — | TTM | high |
| graham number | 12M | $45.96 | — | — | TTM | high |
| Peer P/B | 12M |
A “consensus-then vs. actual-now” overlay is on the way — what our valuation estimate said on a past date versus where the price actually landed.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Above average on quality vs scored peers
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
Only weak execution quality — not the full expensive x weak x turbulent stack. Regime (Mania) does not concentrate fragility.
For similar setups historically (n=20,154): about 33% saw a 20%+ drawdown, and roughly 76% of those did not recover within the year. These are historical base rates for the cohort, not a forecast of this stock.
Looks more expensive than peers.
Self-history needs ~20 months of data.
Trailing four: 2025-Q2, 2025-Q3, 2026-Q1, 2026-Q2
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
| $37.45 |
| 1.2 |
| 30.19 |
| TTM |
| high |
| Peer P/FCF | 12M | $32.39 | 11.7 | 2.78 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/E | 12M | $37.15 | 11.9 | 3.11 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/S | 12M | $4.22 | 3.2 | 1.34 | TTM | high |
| residual income | 12M | $32.52 | — | — | TTM | high |
| Own P/E history | 12M | $42.16 | 13.6 | 3.11 | TTM | high |
| triangulated | 12M | $37.51 | 11.9 | 3.14 | Triangulated | high |
| Peer P/B | 3Y | $56.04 | 1.2 | 45.18 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/FCF | 3Y | $22.09 | 11.7 | 1.89 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/E | 3Y | $51.45 | 11.9 | 4.31 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/S | 3Y | $5.10 | 3.2 | 1.61 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |
| Own P/E history | 3Y | $58.38 | 13.6 | 4.31 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/B | 5Y | $73.32 | 1.2 | 59.12 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | high |
| Peer P/FCF | 5Y | $17.11 | 11.7 | 1.47 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | high |
| Peer P/E | 5Y | $58.31 | 11.9 | 4.88 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | high |
| Peer P/S | 5Y | $5.78 | 3.2 | 1.83 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | high |
| Own P/E history | 5Y | $66.17 | 13.6 | 4.88 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | high |