Net Power, Inc. (NPWR)
NYSEIndustrialsIndustrial - MachinerySnapshot 2026-09-04
$1.93+6.04%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NYSEIndustrialsIndustrial - MachinerySnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · NPWR
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits well below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
A comparable price-assumption read is not available for this company.
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Elevated risk of a next-quarter earnings miss: this name is on a run of consecutive earnings misses and has been missing across recent quarters. A fundamental tilt, not a price call.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 63 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
NPWR — earnings miss
Dated 2026-08-13
of this Current Report on Form 8-K and the related information in Exhibit 99.1 attached hereto is being furnished herewith, and shall not be deemed "filed" for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (the “Exchange Act”), or otherwise subject to the liabilities of that section and shall not be incorporated by reference in any filing with, the Securities and Exchange Commission under the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, or the Exchange Act, except as shall…
Why it matters: Earnings results will show if the company is making money or losing more.
Watch forEarnings report shows a big drop in operating losses compared to Q1 2026.
Also watch forEarnings report shows bigger losses than reported in Q1 2026.
Why it matters: This agreement matters for carbon capture technology. It shows we are making progress.
Supportive ifA deal is signed with Entropy Inc. for carbon capture technology.
Worry ifNo agreement is made, showing slow progress in using the technology.
Why it matters: This report will give updates on money performance and project progress. Both are key for investor trust.
Watch forEarnings report shows better financial numbers or good project news.
Also watch forEarnings report shows ongoing losses or delays in project schedules.
Why it matters: Progress on this project shows the company can meet growing power needs. It shows good execution.
Supportive ifThe first phase is confirmed to finish on time. Commercial operations are set for early 2029.
Worry ifThere are delays in the project timeline or milestones.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$269 on $10,000 · ±2.7% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $832 loss on $10,000 · 8.3% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $7,196 loss on $10,000 · 72.0% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: A decline in cash reserves could signal financial strain. It may affect project execution.
Worry ifCash reserves are over $300 million. This shows financial stability.
Less concerning ifCash reserves drop below $300 million. This raises concerns about liquidity.
Why it matters: This choice shows readiness to move ahead with the project and its funding.
Supportive ifAnnouncement of the final investment choice for Project Permian Phase I.
Worry ifThe decision is postponed or not made by the end of 2026.
Why it matters: Progress on this project is key for Net Power's growth and market position. It shows how well the company is executing its strategy.
Supportive ifGas turbine units are done. The start date for commercial operations is set.
Worry ifThere are delays in development. The timeline for operations is not met.
Why it matters: If the industrial sector grows again, it may help Net Power's business.
Supportive ifSector revenue growth speeds up to 10% or more.
Worry ifSector revenue growth keeps slowing down to below 5%.
Why it matters: This agreement is crucial for project financing. It will help confirm Net Power's growth strategy.
Supportive ifA long-term power purchase agreement is signed for Project Permian Phase I.
Worry ifNo agreement is reached by the end of 2026, delaying project financing.
Why it matters: The new CFO may change how the company manages finances and operations.
Supportive ifA new financial plan makes operations run better. It also saves money.
Worry ifThere are no clear changes in money management. The losses keep happening.
Why it matters: Getting more units will increase capacity. This helps with project execution and shows growth.
Supportive ifAnnouncement of contracts for more gas power units for Project Permian.
Worry ifNo updates or announcements about more units by the end of Q4 2026.