Net Power, Inc. (NPWR)
NYSEIndustrialsIndustrial - MachinerySnapshot 2026-11-04
$0.83-4.38%
Close 2026-11-04 · 1-day change
NYSEIndustrialsIndustrial - MachinerySnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · NPWR
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits well below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
A comparable price-assumption read is not available for this company.
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Elevated risk of a next-quarter earnings miss: this name is on a run of consecutive earnings misses and has been missing across recent quarters. A fundamental tilt, not a price call.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 40 industry peers
NPWR — earnings miss
Dated 2026-08-13
of this Current Report on Form 8-K and the related information in Exhibit 99.1 attached hereto is being furnished herewith, and shall not be deemed "filed" for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (the “Exchange Act”), or otherwise subject to the liabilities of that section and shall not be incorporated by reference in any filing with, the Securities and Exchange Commission under the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, or the Exchange Act, except as shall…
Why it matters: Net Power reported no project funding, customer deposits, or partner capital in August. The new project commitments could add to cash needs.
Worry ifNet Power announces project funding, customer deposits, or partner funds. It states the amount and terms.
Less concerning ifNet Power takes on more equipment or project costs without committed funding. Or it reports cash for less than its stated 12-month needs.
Why it matters: The 123 MW equipment and EPC rights add to the project’s scale. Work needs funding and a notice to proceed before construction can move ahead.
Worry ifNet Power pays the mobilization fee and tells Saulsbury to start work under the EPC agreement.
Less concerning ifNet Power does not issue the full notice to proceed, or Saulsbury ends the EPC agreement or delays work.
Why it matters: Cash was $310 million in June, down from $319 million in March. Management’s 12-month cash view assumed no new pre-FID equipment costs.
Worry ifThe November 12 report shows cash above $310 million. Or, it confirms funds cover at least 12 months of obligations after new commitments.
Less concerning ifThe report shows cash below $310 million and funds for less than 12 months of obligations, or lists new commitments without funding.
Why it matters: The next update can show if the shift to natural gas power is gaining customers and staying on schedule. Net Power has no reported revenue yet.
Watch forOn November 12, Net Power reports progress on a customer deal. It also reports a funded plan to deliver power from Project Permian.
Also watch forOn November 12, Net Power reports no customer deal or funding, or says the project is delayed.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$269 on $10,000 · ±2.7% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $809 loss on $10,000 · 8.1% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $7,700 loss on $10,000 · 77.0% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.