NetSol Technologies Inc (NTWK)
NASDAQInformation TechnologySoftware - ApplicationSnapshot 2026-09-04
$4.08-0.49%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQInformation TechnologySoftware - ApplicationSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · NTWK
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 2.9% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | -7.3% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
No outside relationship met the current evidence threshold.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 10.2 percentage points more one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Elevated risk of a next-quarter earnings miss: this name has been missing across recent quarters and is on a run of consecutive earnings misses. A fundamental tilt, not a price call.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 120 industry peers
NTWK — earnings miss
Dated 2025-11-13
Results of Operations and Financial Condition . On November 12, 2025, NetSol Technologies, Inc. issued a press release announcing results of operations and financial conditions for the quarter ended September 30, 2025. The press release is furnished as Exhibit 99.1 to this Form 8-K. The information in this report shall not be deemed to be “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (the “Exchange Act”), or otherwise subject to the liability of that se…
Why it matters: Keeping this level of operating income shows NETSOL is controlling costs well.
Supportive ifOperating income was at or above $3 million in Q3 fiscal 2026.
Worry ifOperating income was below $3 million in Q3 fiscal 2026.
Why it matters: Meeting this revenue target shows NETSOL is on track to hit its full-year guidance. It reflects strong demand and effective execution.
Supportive ifQ3 fiscal 2026 revenue reported at or above $21.3 million.
Worry ifQ3 fiscal 2026 revenue was below $21.3 million.
Why it matters: Growth in recurring revenue helps with long-term stability and profit.
Supportive ifRecurring subscription and support revenues grow year over year by more than 11.7%.
Worry ifRecurring subscription revenues grow less than 8% year over year.
Why it matters: This earnings report shows key details about the company's money situation and growth.
Watch forEarnings report shows revenue and net income growth match management's plan.
Also watch forEarnings report shows a drop in revenue or big losses. This raises worries about the future.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$120 on $10,000 · ±1.2% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $489 loss on $10,000 · 4.9% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $4,636 loss on $10,000 · 46.4% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: Reaffirming guidance shows trust in future growth and steady revenue.
Supportive ifManagement says they expect about $73 million in revenue for fiscal 2026.
Worry ifManagement lowers or takes back the revenue guidance for fiscal 2026.
Why it matters: Meeting or exceeding this growth rate shows strong demand and supports the revenue guidance.
Supportive ifQ4 revenue growth of 13% or more year over year.
Worry ifQ4 revenue growth falls below 10% year over year.
Why it matters: Better gross margins show better cost control and efficiency.
Supportive ifGross margin is over 55.6% in Q4, showing ongoing improvement.
Worry ifGross margin drops below 55.6%, showing possible cost issues.
Why it matters: More net income shows better profit and financial health.
Supportive ifNet income increases to $1.5 million or more in Q4.
Worry ifNet income drops below $0.5 million in Q4.
Why it matters: A drop below median revenue growth could signal a slowdown in the overall tech sector.
Worry ifSector revenue growth reported below its median.
Less concerning ifSector revenue growth remains above its median.
Why it matters: Meeting this forecast shows strong growth in subscription and support revenue for NETSOL.
Supportive ifAnnual recurring revenue was $35 million or higher.
Worry ifAnnual recurring revenue was less than $35 million.
Why it matters: New contracts or renewals can boost future revenue and support the business plan.
Supportive ifAnnouncement of a new multi-year contract worth more than $10 million.
Worry ifNo new significant contracts announced in the next quarter.