NVE Corp. (NVEC)
NASDAQInformation TechnologySemiconductorsSnapshot 2026-09-04
$100.40+1.87%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQInformation TechnologySemiconductorsSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · NVEC
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 1.0% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 8.9% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 7.9 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 72 industry peers
NVEC — CEO transition
Dated 2026-08-10
CEO — Daniel A. Baker: The CEO retired but was immediately succeeded by a named internal appointee, indicating an orderly transition rather than a sudden loss of leadership.
Why it matters: Sustained revenue growth signals strong demand for NVE's products and market position.
Supportive ifQ1 2027 revenue increases more than 80% year over year.
Worry ifQ1 2027 revenue growth drops below 70% year over year.
Why it matters: Stability or decline in revenue growth could signal a slowdown in demand for NVE's products.
Worry ifQ2 revenue growth falls below 81% year over year.
Less concerning ifQ2 revenue growth remains at or above 81% year over year.
Why it matters: Regular dividends show good finances. They also show a promise to give value to shareholders.
Supportive ifNVE maintains a quarterly dividend of $1.00 per share for the next two quarters.
Worry ifNVE cuts or stops the quarterly dividend.
Why it matters: A clear strategic plan from the new CEO can shape NVE's future direction and growth.
Watch forA plan for growth will be announced within three months of the CEO change.
Also watch forNo strategic plan announced within three months of the CEO transition.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$266 on $10,000 · ±2.7% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $553 loss on $10,000 · 5.5% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $2,757 loss on $10,000 · 27.6% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: Higher prices can boost profit margins for NVE.
Supportive ifNVE says it will raise prices under the Supplier Partnering Agreement.
Worry ifNVE does not implement any pricing changes or faces pricing pressure.
Why it matters: The new CEO's plan can affect how well the company does and how investors feel.
Watch forThe new CEO shares a clear growth plan that investors like.
Also watch forThe new CEO's plan causes doubt or negative reactions from investors.
Why it matters: A smooth transition helps the company keep going. It also builds investor trust.
Watch forPeter G. Eames successfully leads the company with no major disruptions after August 6, 2026.
Also watch forBig problems or bad news can come after the transition.
Why it matters: Strong revenue growth shows the company is growing and people want its products.
Supportive ifQ2 total revenue is $11 million or more. This matches what management expected.
Worry ifQ2 total revenue is less than $10 million, showing possible sales problems.
Why it matters: If revenue growth drops, it signals a slowdown in the sector's expansion. This could hurt NVE Corp.'s performance.
Worry ifSector revenue growth falls below its historical median.
Less concerning ifSector revenue growth is still higher than its average from the past.
Why it matters: Peter G. Eames will lead NVE for the first time. His approach may impact future growth.
Watch forThe quarterly results show revenue growth over 81% as projected.
Also watch forThe quarterly results show revenue growth below 81%.
Why it matters: The dividend shows the company cares about giving cash to shareholders. Missing a payment may mean financial problems.
Supportive ifThe company pays the announced $1.00 dividend on August 31, 2026.
Worry ifThe company fails to pay the dividend as scheduled.
Why it matters: Strong revenue growth indicates continued demand for NVE's products. It shows the company's market position is solid.
Supportive ifQ2 revenue growth exceeds 75% compared to the same quarter last year.
Worry ifQ2 revenue growth is below 75% year over year.
Why it matters: Keeping the dividend shows financial strength and care for shareholders.
Supportive ifThe company pays a quarterly dividend of $1.00 per share.
Worry ifThe company cuts or stops the quarterly dividend.
Why it matters: Higher prices can boost profits and revenue, affecting financial health.
Watch forThe company says it will raise prices in the Supplier Partnering Agreement.
Also watch forNo pricing changes are announced or prices are lowered.