News Corp (Class A) (NWSA)
NASDAQCommunication ServicesPublishingSnapshot 2026-11-04
$30.56+3.73%
Close 2026-11-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQCommunication ServicesPublishingSnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · NWSA
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 32.8% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 4.9% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
No outside relationship met the current evidence threshold.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 27.9 percentage points more one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 1 industry peers
Why it matters: The company had spent about $404.7 million by August 5. Further purchases would show continued use of the plan.
Supportive ifA new filing shows purchases above $404.7 million. The $1 billion authorization is still active.
Worry ifA filing ends or pauses the program, or reports no further purchases in the next update.
Why it matters: The report can test the revenue, cash flow, and EPS goals. The sector has also lagged over recent periods.
Watch forThe report keeps the $9.03 billion revenue, $811 million free cash flow, and $1.03 EPS goals in place.
Also watch forThe report cuts any of those goals or reports results below the stated fiscal 2026 targets.
Why it matters: Free cash flow shows how much cash remains after business spending. A shortfall could limit cash for repurchases.
Watch forReported fiscal 2026 free cash flow is at or above $811 million.
Also watch forReported fiscal 2026 free cash flow is below $811 million, or management lowers its goal.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$97 on $10,000 · ±1.0% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $255 loss on $10,000 · 2.5% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $1,713 loss on $10,000 · 17.1% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.