NextPlat Corp (NXPL)
NASDAQInformation TechnologySoftware - ApplicationSnapshot 2026-09-04
$8.91-5.01%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQInformation TechnologySoftware - ApplicationSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · NXPL
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -86.9% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
| 35.4% |
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 122.3 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 119 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
NXPL — earnings miss
Dated 2026-05-14
Results of Operations and Financial Condition On May 14, 2026, NextPlat Corp (the “Registrant”) issued a press release announcing certain financial results for the quarter ended March 31, 2026. A copy of the press release is furnished as Exhibit 99.1 to this Current Report on Form 8-K. The information contained herein and in the accompanying exhibit shall not be incorporated by reference into any filing of the Registrant, whether made before or after the date hereof, regardless of any general…
Why it matters: Completing this deal would help NextPlat grow its market and add $5.6 million in revenue.
Supportive ifThe acquisition of Scott's Pharmacy is completed by the end of Q4 2026.
Worry ifThe acquisition is delayed or fails to close before the end of Q4 2026.
Why it matters: Positive operating income would show the turnaround plan is working. This is important for investors.
Supportive ifNextPlat reports positive operating income for Q3 2026. This shows better financial health.
Worry ifNextPlat still reports an operating loss in Q3 2026. This shows ongoing problems.
Why it matters: If revenue growth falls below median, it signals a weakening position in a growing sector.
Worry ifNextPlat's revenue growth reported below the sector median growth rate.
Less concerning ifNextPlat's revenue growth remains above the sector median growth rate.
Why it matters: Keeping high gross margins shows good cost management. It also shows a move to profitable services.
Supportive ifGross margins exceed 34% in Q2 2026.
Worry ifGross margins fall below 34% in Q2 2026.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$306 on $10,000 · ±3.1% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $900 loss on $10,000 · 9.0% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $6,204 loss on $10,000 · 62.0% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: The delisting notice affects NextPlat's stock and investor trust. It's important to keep an eye on this.
Worry ifNasdaq confirms NextPlat has resolved the delisting issue.
Less concerning ifNasdaq proceeds with delisting NextPlat.
Why it matters: Strong e-Commerce growth indicates demand for NextPlat's products. This can enhance overall revenue and margins.
Supportive ifE-Commerce sales grow by over 25% in Q3 2026.
Worry ifE-Commerce revenue grows less than 10% sequentially in Q3 2026.
Why it matters: NextPlat's listing status affects how investors feel. Following rules is key for market access.
Worry ifThey announced they follow Nasdaq listing rules.
Less concerning ifFurther notice of delisting from Nasdaq.
Why it matters: This acquisition would boost NextPlat's market presence and revenue.
Supportive ifNextPlat buys a pharmacy in the Pensacola area.
Worry ifThe purchase is delayed or called off.
Why it matters: Cutting operating expenses helps the company make money. It also helps the company run better.
Supportive ifOperating expenses decrease by at least 5% in Q2 2026 compared to Q1 2026.
Worry ifOperating expenses increase or stay the same in Q2 2026.
Why it matters: More revenue from higher-margin services is key. It helps improve profits and cut losses.
Supportive ifRevenue from contracted healthcare services grows over 20% in Q3 2026.
Worry ifHealthcare services revenue growth stalls or declines in Q3 2026.