American Strategic Investment Co (NYC)
NYSEReal EstateReit - DiversifiedSnapshot 2026-09-04
$6.29+0.80%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NYSEReal EstateReit - DiversifiedSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · NYC
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits well below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -81.2% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | Not available |
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
No outside relationship met the current evidence threshold.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
A comparable growth gap is not available.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Elevated risk of a next-quarter earnings miss: this name has erratic recent earnings surprises and is a smaller-cap name (higher miss base rate). A fundamental tilt, not a price call.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 15 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
NYC — CEO transition
Dated 2026-07-13
Chairman of the Board — Edward M. Weil, Jr.: Mr. Weil resigned due to personal reasons and was succeeded by Nicholas S. Schorsch, Jr.
Why it matters: The new CEO's plan may change the company's strategy. This can affect future performance.
Watch forThe new CEO shares a clear plan. This plan matches with better financial results.
Also watch forNew CEO fails to provide a clear strategic direction or worsens financial metrics.
Why it matters: The real estate sector is slowing. If revenue growth picks up, it could help NYC's performance.
Supportive ifSector revenue growth speeds up to 5% or more.
Worry ifSector revenue growth keeps slowing down below 5%.
Why it matters: Occupancy rates affect revenue and cash flow. A rise shows better performance. A decline raises concerns.
Supportive ifOccupancy rate increases above 80% in the next quarter.
Worry ifOccupancy rate falls below 75% in the next quarter.
Why it matters: Dropping below this level might show liquidity problems. This can affect operations and growth.
Worry ifCash and cash equivalents fall below $2.5 million.
Less concerning ifCash and cash equivalents remain above $2.5 million.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$255 on $10,000 · ±2.5% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $666 loss on $10,000 · 6.7% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $4,631 loss on $10,000 · 46.3% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: A continued drop in revenue would signal ongoing struggles in the business. This could indicate deeper issues in the real estate market or the company's operations.
Worry ifQ3 revenue falls below $7.3 million, which is the Q2 2026 revenue.
Less concerning ifQ3 revenue stabilizes or increases year over year.
Why it matters: The earnings report will show if the company can improve its loss-making status. Investors will focus on revenue and profit trends.
Watch forThe earnings report shows smaller losses or a return to making money.
Also watch forEarnings report shows continued losses or a decline in revenue.
Why it matters: Selling assets can help with cash flow and support spending plans.
Supportive ifManagement says they finished at least one big asset sale in Q3.
Worry ifNo asset dispositions are announced in Q3.
Why it matters: Stable or better leasing rates lead to higher occupancy. This means more money and growth.
Supportive ifThe average remaining lease term stays above 6.1 years in Q3.
Worry ifWeighted-average remaining lease term drops below 6.1 years in Q3.
Why it matters: Updates on equity sales can show changes in money plans and trust from investors.
Watch forNew equity sales announced that bring in over $10 million.
Also watch forNo new announcements on equity sales or a halt to planned sales.
Why it matters: Better operating income can help fix recent losses. It shows how well management is doing.
Supportive ifQ2 operating income is positive. It is more than $43 million.
Worry ifQ2 operating income stays negative or goes down more.
Why it matters: Regaining compliance is key for keeping investor trust and market access. Non-compliance may lead to delisting.
Supportive ifThe company stays compliant with NYSE rules without new problems.
Worry ifThe company has new compliance issues or warnings about delisting.
Why it matters: A bigger net loss means worse financial health. This could hurt investor confidence.
Worry ifNet loss in Q2 2026 exceeds $7.8 million.
Less concerning ifNet loss in Q2 2026 is less than $7.8 million.
Why it matters: Better sector performance may mean a stronger recovery for NYC.
Supportive ifSector performance improves with good results over 20 days.
Worry ifSector performance keeps falling compared to the market.
Why it matters: A smaller net loss shows better management of losses. This is important for investor trust.
Supportive ifNet loss for common stockholders drops to under $8.3 million in Q3.
Worry ifNet loss increases or stays above $8.3 million in Q3.
Why it matters: Another earnings miss would show ongoing struggles and could hurt investor confidence.
Worry ifQ2 earnings report shows a loss greater than the previous quarter's earnings miss.
Less concerning ifQ2 earnings report shows a profit or a smaller loss than the previous quarter.
Why it matters: Higher leasing rates mean tenants stay longer. This shows good management of occupancy.
Supportive ifLeasing rate reported above 75% for the portfolio.
Worry ifLeasing rate remains below 75%.
Why it matters: Better cash flow is important for the company's finances. It shows better control of costs.
Supportive ifCash flow from operations turns positive and exceeds $500,000.
Worry ifCash flow from operations is still negative for another quarter.
Why it matters: Asset sales can improve liquidity and reduce debt. This is crucial for financial stability.
Supportive ifThe company says it sold more properties. This helps cash flow.
Worry ifNo more asset sales are announced. Liquidity is still tight.