Oil-Dri Corp. of America (ODC)
NYSEMaterialsChemicals - SpecialtySnapshot 2026-11-05
$68.62-3.27%
Close 2026-11-05 · 1-day change
NYSEMaterialsChemicals - SpecialtySnapshot 2026-11-05
QuarterlyIQ Insights · ODC
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -11.1% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 1.5% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
No outside relationship met the current evidence threshold.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-05.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 12.6 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Worth watching into the next print: this name is on a run of consecutive earnings misses and has been missing across recent quarters. A fundamental tilt, not a price call.
Model as of 2026-11-05 · Compared with 33 industry peers
ODC — capital allocation — Creation of Direct Financial Obligation or an Obligation Under an Off-Balance…
Dated 2026-10-08
Creation of Direct Financial Obligation or an Obligation Under an Off-Balance Sheet Arrangement of a Registrant. The information included under
Why it matters: Full-year gross margin fell to 27.8% from 29.5%. Higher plant and freight costs drove the drop.
Supportive ifFiscal Q1 gross margin is above 28%, with per-ton costs no longer rising year over year.
Worry ifFiscal Q1 gross margin stays at or below 27.8%, or per-ton costs rise more than 4% year over year.
Why it matters: B2B sales fell 1% for fiscal 2026, and operating income fell 7%. A recovery would show that recent revenue gains are reaching profit.
Supportive ifB2B operating income grows year over year in fiscal Q1, after its 7% full-year decline.
Worry ifB2B operating income falls at least 3% year over year, while sales are flat or lower.
Why it matters: Clay litter faced weaker sales from retailer changes and heavy competitor promotions. This weighed on a key part of the retail business.
Worry ifDomestic clay litter sales fall more than 3% year over year in the next reported quarter.
Less concerning ifDomestic clay litter sales are flat or higher year over year.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$135 on $10,000 · ±1.4% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $349 loss on $10,000 · 3.5% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $3,553 loss on $10,000 · 35.5% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.