Oceaneering International, Inc. (OII)
NYSEEnergyOil & Gas Equipment & ServicesSnapshot 2026-11-04
$36.39-4.66%
Close 2026-11-04 · 1-day change
NYSEEnergyOil & Gas Equipment & ServicesSnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · OII
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -29.7% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
| 4.1% |
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 33.8 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 19 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
OII — earnings miss
Dated 2026-10-21
The information furnished pursuant to this Item 2.02, including Exhibit 99.1, shall not be deemed to be "filed" for the purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (the "Exchange Act"), or otherwise subject to the liabilities of that section, nor shall such information be deemed incorporated by reference into any registration statement or other filing under the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, or the Exchange Act, unless specifically identified in such filing…
Why it matters: Q3 free cash flow was $142 million, but management expects it to ease in Q4. The year-end result tests its cash plan.
Watch forThe Q4 report says full-year free cash flow met or beat prior guidance.
Also watch forThe Q4 report says full-year free cash flow fell short of prior guidance.
Why it matters: ADTech revenue grew in Q3, but operating income fell and its margin was 11%. Higher profit would show better returns from growth.
Supportive ifADTech operating income tops $14.7 million in a later quarter. Its margin tops 11%.
Worry ifADTech operating income stays at or below $14.7 million, or its margin stays at or below 11%.
Why it matters: The Q3 report kept the 2026 guide at $400 million to $440 million. Reaching it would support management's growth plan.
Supportive ifThe Q4 report puts full-year 2026 adjusted EBITDA at $400 million or more.
Worry ifThe Q4 report puts adjusted EBITDA for all of 2026 below $400 million.
Why it matters: Management sees EBITDA rising in 2027. Results in the guided range would support that view.
Supportive ifThe Q4 report keeps 2027 EBITDA guidance at $430 million or more.
Worry ifThe Q4 report cuts 2027 EBITDA guidance below $430 million.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$145 on $10,000 · ±1.5% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $478 loss on $10,000 · 4.8% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $3,275 loss on $10,000 · 32.8% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.