Olin Corporation (OLN)
NYSEMaterialsChemicalsSnapshot 2026-11-05
NYSEMaterialsChemicalsSnapshot 2026-11-05
QuarterlyIQ Insights · OLN
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -28.4% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
No outside relationship met the current evidence threshold.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-05.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
| 4.9% |
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 33.3 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-05 · Compared with 5 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
OLN — credit agreement
Dated 2026-10-28
Entry into a Material Definitive Agreement. Second Amendment to Credit Agreement On October 27, 2026, Olin Corporation (the “Registrant”) entered into an amendment (the “Second Amendment”) to the Credit Agreement dated as of March 14, 2025 (as amended by the First Amendment, dated as of February 19, 2026, the “Existing Credit Agreement”, and as amended by the Second Amendment, the “Amended Credit Agreement”), with the guarantors from time to time party thereto, the lenders and the issuing ban…
Why it matters: Epoxy moved from a loss to a small profit as volume growth and lower costs helped. Continued profit would show that this progress is lasting.
Supportive ifEpoxy segment earnings stay above zero in the next quarter Olin reports.
Worry ifEpoxy reports a segment loss in the next quarter, or lower volume and higher costs erase the recent gains.
Why it matters: Olin reported net debt of about $2.8 billion and a 5.2-times debt ratio. Lower debt would support its stated goal of generating cash.
Supportive ifA later report shows net debt below $2.8 billion and the debt ratio below 5.2 times.
Worry ifA later report shows net debt above $2.8 billion or the debt ratio above 5.2 times.
Why it matters: The merger has shareholder approval and cleared a key U.S. review step. A timely close would move the deal into integration.
Supportive ifOlin and Huntsman report all required approvals and close the merger in Q1 2027.
Worry ifA required approval is denied, or the companies report that the merger close has slipped beyond Q1 2027.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$175 on $10,000 · ±1.7% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $487 loss on $10,000 · 4.9% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $5,119 loss on $10,000 · 51.2% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.