One Liberty Properties, Inc. (OLP)
NYSEReal EstateReit - DiversifiedSnapshot 2026-11-05
$20.89-4.79%
Close 2026-11-05 · 1-day change
NYSEReal EstateReit - DiversifiedSnapshot 2026-11-05
QuarterlyIQ Insights · OLP
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -0.1% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 27.7% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the opposite direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Usually moved in the opposite direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to real (inflation-adjusted) rates and long-term interest rates.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-05.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 27.7 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-05 · Compared with 12 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
OLP — earnings miss
Dated 2026-03-05
of Form 8-K and are not to be considered “filed” under the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (the “Exchange Act”), and shall not be incorporated by reference into any previous or future filing by the registrant under the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, or the Exchange Act, except as shall be expressly set forth by specific reference in such filing.
Why it matters: Selling this non-core site would advance OLP's shift toward industrial property. The company estimated a $280,000 loss on the sale.
Watch forA filing or company update confirms the Chicago sale closed near $5.7 million. The loss was near the stated $280,000 estimate.
Also watch forThe sale does not close, or the final price or loss is materially worse than the stated estimate.
Why it matters: The dividend has stayed at $0.45 per share, while Q2 FFO was $0.49. A shrinking gap may leave less room to cover the payout.
Worry ifA reported quarter shows FFO per diluted share below $0.45, the stated dividend per share.
Less concerning ifFFO per diluted share stays above $0.45 and the dividend remains at $0.45 per share.
Why it matters: Occupancy was 97.6% in Q2, down from 98.8% in Q1. A further drop could weaken rent growth.
Worry ifThe Q3 report shows that portfolio occupancy is below 97.6%.
Less concerning ifThe Q3 report shows occupancy at or above 97.6%.
Why it matters: Q2 rent grew mainly from acquisitions. The real estate sector is mature, with a margin trend near -3%. Faster rent growth would show the business can keep expanding.
Watch forA later quarterly report shows rental income growth of at least 10.3% year over year.
Also watch forA later quarterly report shows rental income growth below 10.3% year over year.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$72 on $10,000 · ±0.7% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $179 loss on $10,000 · 1.8% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $1,789 loss on $10,000 · 17.9% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: Q2 FFO per share rose to $0.49, but higher interest costs offset some rent gains. Another increase would show that growth is reaching each share.
Supportive ifIn the November 5 report, Q3 FFO per diluted share is above $0.45, the Q3 2025 level.
Worry ifQ3 FFO per diluted share is $0.45 or lower.