One Liberty Properties, Inc. (OLP)
NYSEReal EstateReit - DiversifiedSnapshot 2026-09-04
$23.92+0.76%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NYSEReal EstateReit - DiversifiedSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · OLP
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance recently climbed back into the top half of its industry — confirming the recovery.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 2.7% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 23.7% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 21.1 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 14 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
OLP — earnings miss
Dated 2026-03-05
of Form 8-K and are not to be considered “filed” under the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (the “Exchange Act”), and shall not be incorporated by reference into any previous or future filing by the registrant under the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, or the Exchange Act, except as shall be expressly set forth by specific reference in such filing.
Why it matters: High occupancy rates mean strong demand. They also show good property management and steady income.
Supportive ifOccupancy rates stay above 97% in Q3 2026.
Worry ifOccupancy rates fall below 97% in Q3 2026.
Why it matters: Closing this sale would give cash for more purchases and sharpen the portfolio's focus.
Supportive ifThe El Paso retail property sale closes for about $17.5 million.
Worry ifThe sale of the El Paso retail property is delayed or canceled.
Why it matters: Lower net income growth may mean problems in making money.
Worry ifQ3 net income growth below 50% year over year.
Less concerning ifQ3 net income growth at or above 50% year over year.
Why it matters: Continued growth in cash flow supports operational strength and future investments. A decline would raise concerns.
Supportive ifCash from operations is reported over $11.22 million in the next quarter.
Worry ifCash from operations is reported under $11 million in the next quarter.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$88 on $10,000 · ±0.9% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $184 loss on $10,000 · 1.8% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $1,376 loss on $10,000 · 13.8% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: Selling non-core properties can improve cash flow and focus on industrial assets.
Supportive ifTwo non-core property sales were done for around $9 million.
Worry ifSales of non-core properties are delayed or do not occur.
Why it matters: New purchases would help the growth plan and add to the industrial portfolio.
Supportive ifManagement says they bought new industrial properties. These are worth over $50 million.
Worry ifNo new acquisitions announced in the next quarter.
Why it matters: Stable or rising net income helps the company's financial stability. It supports the dividend.
Supportive ifNet income for Q2 2026 is equal to or greater than $6.24 million.
Worry ifNet income for Q2 2026 drops below $6.24 million.
Why it matters: Strong cash from operations shows good financial health. It helps support the dividend.
Supportive ifCash from operating activities is more than $10 million in Q2 2026.
Worry ifCash from operating activities is less than $10 million in Q2 2026.
Why it matters: If revenue growth picks up, it could signal a positive shift for One Liberty Properties.
Supportive ifReal estate revenue growth is speeding up again. It is now above 5%.
Worry ifRevenue growth is still below 5%. It may keep slowing down.
Why it matters: The sale will generate net proceeds of about $5.4 million. This supports the strategy of disposing non-core assets.
Supportive ifThe Chicago retail property sale closes in Q3 2026 as planned.
Worry ifThe sale does not close by the end of Q3 2026.
Why it matters: Stable net income indicates financial health. A drop could signal underlying issues.
Supportive ifNet income reported above $6.24 million in the next quarter.
Worry ifNet income reported below $6 million in the next quarter.
Why it matters: This growth rate is key to understanding if the industrial focus is still driving revenue.
Worry ifQ3 rental income growth below 10% year over year.
Less concerning ifQ3 rental income growth at or above 10% year over year.
Why it matters: This sale helps improve the portfolio. It focuses on industrial assets.
Supportive ifThe Chicago retail property sale will close for about $5.7 million.
Worry ifThe Chicago retail property sale does not close as expected.
Why it matters: FFO growth is important. It shows how well the company makes cash and pays dividends.
Worry ifFFO growth below 8% year over year in Q3.
Less concerning ifFFO growth at or above 8% year over year in Q3.
Why it matters: Keeping the dividend is key for investor trust and shows good cash flow.
Supportive ifDividend per share remains stable at $0.45.
Worry ifDividend per share is cut below $0.45.