ONFOLIO HOLDINGS INC (ONFO)
NASDAQCommunication ServicesInternet Content & InformationSnapshot 2026-11-04
$0.36-22.25%
Close 2026-11-05 · 1-day change
NASDAQCommunication ServicesInternet Content & InformationSnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · ONFO
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits well below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -32.6% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
No outside relationship met the current evidence threshold.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
| 16.2% |
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 48.8 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Elevated risk of a next-quarter earnings miss: this name is a smaller-cap name (higher miss base rate) and has been missing across recent quarters. A fundamental tilt, not a price call.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 12 industry peers
ONFO — legal / regulatory event — Triggering Events That Accelerate
Dated 2026-10-20
Triggering Events That Accelerate or Increase a Direct Financial Obligation or an Obligation under an Off-Balance Sheet Arrangement. The information set forth in
Why it matters: Revenue fell from $3.15 million to $1.50 million year over year in Q2. The next report can show whether that decline continues.
Watch forThe November 13 report shows revenue above $1.50 million and a smaller net loss than in 2026-Q2.
Also watch forThe report shows revenue below $1.50 million or a larger net loss than in 2026-Q2.
Why it matters: A subsidiary missed some loan payments, and the company entered a forbearance deal. New payment terms or another missed payment can show how much pressure remains.
Watch forA filing or company update confirms the missed payments were made and the forbearance terms were met.
Also watch forA filing reports another missed payment, a broken term in the forbearance, or debt that is due sooner.
Why it matters: ONFO has an equity facility of up to $100 million while it reports losses. A filing on its use can show whether the company is raising capital and on what terms.
Watch forA filing states how much ONFO has drawn and gives the share count and terms for those sales.
Also watch forONFO reports no facility use. It also reports enough cash to cover its needs without selling new shares.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$582 on $10,000 · ±5.8% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $1,653 loss on $10,000 · 16.5% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $9,939 loss on $10,000 · 99.4% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.