OPENLANE, Inc. (OPLN)
NYSEIndustrialsAuto - DealershipsSnapshot 2026-09-04
$35.46+1.60%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NYSEIndustrialsAuto - DealershipsSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · OPLN
Price, fair value, and the multiples that frame it on the same time axis. Scroll over the price chart to zoom.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots inline.
A consensus fair price across 11 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-09-04. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
We take the 12-month fair value above and grade our own number — how the market prices this name versus what we'd justify, and where the two diverge.
At $35 OPLN trades at 26× p/e, below its 27× p/e peer median. Our $48 fair value sits well above the price. We hold it with medium confidence: quality doesn't explain valuation multiples in this sub-industry, so the peer comparison is a weak guide. Analysts target $46–$50. Not investment advice.
One valuation read at a 12-month horizon, plus how price compares to peers and the company's own history.
Score 100 = cheapest in the cohort, 0 = richest. Bars are filled left-to-right based on the peer-relative score (or PEG/self-history where shown).
Each method's implied share price per horizon. Provisional rows use a projected (historical-CAGR) growth input rather than analyst or management guidance.
| Method | Horizon | Est. price | Multiple | Per-share input | EPS source | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| analyst target | 12M | $49.00 | — | — | Analyst | high |
| dcf fcfe | 12M | $126.10 | — | — | Analyst | high |
| dcf fcff | 12M | $142.98 | — | — | Analyst | high |
| graham number | 12M | $20.18 | — | — | TTM | high |
| Peer EV/EBITDA | 12M |
A “consensus-then vs. actual-now” overlay is on the way — what our valuation estimate said on a past date versus where the price actually landed.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Above average on quality vs scored peers
A second lens on the 12-month fair value: for companies that score high on measured quality (profitability, balance-sheet safety, earnings stability), this read trusts more of today's profit margins instead of averaging them toward their multi-year history the way the headline number does. Shown alongside the fair value above, not in place of it. A diagnostic, not a price target or a buy/sell signal.
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
$46.00 – $50.00 (median $49.00) · 3 analysts · as of 2026-08-06
No fragility gates fired. Regime (Mania) does not concentrate fragility.
For similar setups historically (n=20,154): about 33% saw a 20%+ drawdown, and roughly 76% of those did not recover within the year. These are historical base rates for the cohort, not a forecast of this stock.
At today's price you pay about 7% over what the business is worth with no growth; closing that gap needs roughly 1.0 years of the forecast growth to come through. These describe the expectations embedded in the price, not a forecast of the move. Reverse-DCF base: $1.54/sh owner earnings.
Roughly priced in line with peers.
Self-history needs ~20 months of data.
Trailing four: 2025-Q2, 2025-Q3, 2026-Q1, 2026-Q2
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
| $35.46 |
| 13.6 |
| 2.82 |
| TTM |
| high |
| Peer P/FCF | 12M | $45.57 | 15.4 | 2.96 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/E | 12M | $36.22 | 26.8 | 1.35 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/S | 12M | $30.52 | 1.7 | 17.71 | TTM | high |
| PEG | 12M | $65.98 | 48.9 | 1.35 | TTM | high |
| residual income | 12M | $14.72 | — | — | TTM | high |
| triangulated | 12M | $40.38 | 26.8 | 1.51 | Triangulated | high |
| Peer EV/EBITDA | 3Y | $55.46 | 13.6 | 4.28 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/E | 3Y | $55.16 | 26.8 | 2.06 | Analyst | medium |
| Peer P/S | 3Y | $41.30 | 1.7 | 23.96 | Analyst | medium |
| PEG | 3Y | $100.49 | 48.9 | 2.06 | Analyst | medium |
| Peer EV/EBITDA | 5Y | $74.30 | 13.6 | 5.66 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/E | 5Y | $67.16 | 26.8 | 2.50 | Analyst | medium |
| Peer P/S | 5Y | $50.29 | 1.7 | 29.18 | Analyst | medium |
| PEG | 5Y | $122.35 | 48.9 | 2.50 | Analyst | medium |