OPENLANE, Inc. (OPLN)
NYSEIndustrialsAuto - DealershipsSnapshot 2026-11-05
$35.65-3.02%
Close 2026-11-05 · 1-day change
NYSEIndustrialsAuto - DealershipsSnapshot 2026-11-05
QuarterlyIQ Insights · OPLN
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -28.6% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-05.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
| 9.4% |
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 38.0 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-05 · Compared with 11 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
OPLN — debt issuance
Dated 2026-08-13
Other Events. On August 11, 2026, Ignition Acquisition Holdings LP (the “Selling Stockholder”), a fund advised by Apax Partners, L.P., launched and priced its registered public secondary offering (the “Offering”) of 8,000,000 shares of common stock, par value $0.01 per share (the “Common Stock”), of OPENLANE, Inc. (the “Company”). The closing of the Offering with respect to the 8,000,000 shares occurred on August 13, 2026, with gross proceeds to the Selling Stockholder of approximately $274.9…
Why it matters: Management linked commercial growth to the early return of off-lease vehicles. More growth would support that trend; a sharp slowdown would weaken it.
Watch forQ3 marketplace commercial vehicle sales grow at least 35% year over year.
Also watch forQ3 marketplace commercial vehicle sales grow less than 25% year over year.
Why it matters: AFC helps fund the marketplace. Credit losses above Q1's $10.3 million could add pressure to earnings.
Worry ifQ3 provision for credit losses exceeds $10.3 million.
Less concerning ifQ3 provision for credit losses is $10.3 million or less.
Why it matters: U.S. dealer sales grew 31% in Q2. This tests whether OPENLANE can keep gaining dealer volume.
Supportive ifQ3 marketplace U.S. dealer vehicle sales grow more than 30% year over year.
Worry ifQ3 marketplace U.S. dealer vehicle sales grow less than 13% year over year, or decline.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$139 on $10,000 · ±1.4% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $300 loss on $10,000 · 3.0% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $2,214 loss on $10,000 · 22.1% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.