Blue Owl Capital Inc (OWL)
NYSEFinancialsAsset ManagementSnapshot 2026-09-04
$11.75-0.76%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NYSEFinancialsAsset ManagementSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · OWL
Price, fair value, and the multiples that frame it on the same time axis. Scroll over the price chart to zoom.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots inline.
A consensus fair price across 12 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-09-06. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
We take the 12-month fair value above and grade our own number — how the market prices this name versus what we'd justify, and where the two diverge.
At $12 OWL trades at 14× p/e, below its 16× p/e peer median. Our $20 fair value sits well above the price. We hold it with low confidence: our number sits well above the analyst range and quality doesn't explain valuation multiples in this sub-industry, so the peer comparison is a weak guide. Analysts target $9.00–$12. Note: our $20 fair value sits above the entire analyst range ($9.00–$12). Not investment advice.
One valuation read at a 12-month horizon, plus how price compares to peers and the company's own history.
Score 100 = cheapest in the cohort, 0 = richest. Bars are filled left-to-right based on the peer-relative score (or PEG/self-history where shown).
Each method's implied share price per horizon. Provisional rows use a projected (historical-CAGR) growth input rather than analyst or management guidance.
| Method | Horizon | Est. price | Multiple | Per-share input | EPS source | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| analyst target | 12M | $10.00 | — | — | Analyst | medium |
| dcf fcfe | 12M | $90.42 | — | — | Hist. CAGR | medium |
| dcf fcff | 12M | $71.40 | — | — | Hist. CAGR | medium |
| graham number | 12M | $12.63 | — | — | TTM | medium |
| Peer P/B | 12M |
A “consensus-then vs. actual-now” overlay is on the way — what our valuation estimate said on a past date versus where the price actually landed.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Above average on quality vs scored peers
A second lens on the 12-month fair value: for companies that score high on measured quality (profitability, balance-sheet safety, earnings stability), this read trusts more of today's profit margins instead of averaging them toward their multi-year history the way the headline number does. Shown alongside the fair value above, not in place of it. A diagnostic, not a price target or a buy/sell signal.
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
$9.00 – $12.00 (median $10.00) · 6 analysts · as of 2026-08-03
No fragility gates fired. Regime (Mania) does not concentrate fragility.
For similar setups historically (n=20,154): about 33% saw a 20%+ drawdown, and roughly 76% of those did not recover within the year. These are historical base rates for the cohort, not a forecast of this stock.
Looks cheaper than most peers in the same business.
Around its own typical valuation.
Trailing four: 2025-Q2, 2025-Q3, 2026-Q1, 2026-Q2
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
| $15.75 |
| 1.9 |
| 8.15 |
| TTM |
| medium |
| Peer P/FCF | 12M | $25.99 | 13.5 | 1.92 | TTM | medium |
| Peer P/E | 12M | $12.40 | 13.0 | 0.96 | ntm analyst | medium |
| Peer P/S | 12M | $2.70 | 3.2 | 0.83 | TTM | medium |
| PEG | 12M | $15.35 | 17.6 | 0.87 | TTM | medium |
| residual income | 12M | $8.29 | — | — | TTM | medium |
| Own P/E history | 12M | $12.32 | 14.2 | 0.87 | TTM | medium |
| triangulated | 12M | $14.22 | 16.3 | 0.87 | Triangulated | medium |
| Peer P/B | 3Y | $16.46 | 1.9 | 8.52 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/FCF | 3Y | $39.53 | 13.5 | 2.92 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/E | 3Y | $9.57 | 13.0 | 0.74 | Analyst | medium |
| Peer P/S | 3Y | $1.64 | 3.2 | 0.50 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |
| PEG | 3Y | $13.00 | 17.6 | 0.74 | Analyst | medium |
| Own P/E history | 3Y | $10.44 | 14.2 | 0.74 | Analyst | medium |
| Peer P/B | 5Y | $16.95 | 1.9 | 8.78 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | high |
| Peer P/FCF | 5Y | $52.28 | 13.5 | 3.87 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | high |
| Peer P/E | 5Y | $6.85 | 13.0 | 0.53 | Analyst | high |
| PEG | 5Y | $9.31 | 17.6 | 0.53 | Analyst | high |
| Own P/E history | 5Y | $7.48 | 14.2 | 0.53 | Analyst | high |