Blue Owl Capital Inc (OWL)
NYSEFinancialsAsset ManagementSnapshot 2026-11-04
$10.65+3.10%
Close 2026-11-04 · 1-day change
NYSEFinancialsAsset ManagementSnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · OWL
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -44.7% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 76.7% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 121.4 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 23 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
OWL — dividend update
Dated 2026-10-29
Other Events. On October 29, 2026, the Company announced a cash dividend of $0.23 per Class A Share. The dividend is payable on November 23, 2026, to holders of record as of the close of business on November 10, 2026.
Why it matters: The financial sector is still growing, but its trend is easing. Slower sector growth could add pressure to Blue Owl’s fundraising and deployment.
Worry ifThe sector report says revenue growth has dropped below its median.
Less concerning ifThe sector report says revenue growth remains at or above its median.
Why it matters: Management named income and downside protection as key parts of its approach. The supplied results give no measure to test that claim.
Watch forA future report gives return data. It shows positive income returns and contained losses during a market decline.
Also watch forA future report shows negative income returns or large losses when the market falls.
Why it matters: Blue Owl said it raised nearly $50 billion over the last 12 months. Continued fundraising would support its growth story.
Supportive ifThe next results report shows fundraising at or above $50 billion over the prior 12 months.
Worry ifThe next results report shows fundraising below $50 billion over the prior 12 months.
Why it matters: Blue Owl reported new debt activity, including $750 million of notes due in 2036. Higher costs or tighter terms could weigh on its finances.
Worry ifA filing or earnings report shows higher debt costs, tighter terms, or a missed debt payment.
Less concerning ifA filing or earnings report shows debt costs and terms remain stable, with no missed payment.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$161 on $10,000 · ±1.6% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $469 loss on $10,000 · 4.7% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $4,960 loss on $10,000 · 49.6% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: Blue Owl kept its dividend at $0.23 in each supplied quarter. A lower payment would break that pattern.
Worry ifBlue Owl declares its next quarterly dividend below $0.23 per Class A Share or skips a payment.
Less concerning ifBlue Owl declares a quarterly dividend of $0.23 per Class A Share or more.